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Meritage Hospitality Group (Meritage Hospitality Group) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-86.11 (As of Dec23)


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What is Meritage Hospitality Group Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Meritage Hospitality Group's earnings power value is $-86.11. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Meritage Hospitality Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Meritage Hospitality Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Meritage Hospitality Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Meritage Hospitality Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -127.25 -90.73 -119.58 -88.02 -86.11

Meritage Hospitality Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -88.02 -97.79 -73.63 -106.09 -86.11

Competitive Comparison of Meritage Hospitality Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Restaurants subindustry, Meritage Hospitality Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Meritage Hospitality Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Meritage Hospitality Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Meritage Hospitality Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Meritage Hospitality Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Meritage Hospitality Group's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 571.9
DDA 16.5
Operating Margin % 4.53
SGA * 25% 31.6
Tax Rate % 26.62
Maintenance Capex 54.6
Cash and Cash Equivalents 19.4
Short-Term Debt 74.7
Long-Term Debt 541.2
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 8.2

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 4.53%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $571.9 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 4.53%, Average Adjusted SGA = 31.6,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 571.9 * 4.53% +31.6 = $57.527430511 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 26.62%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $57.527430511 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 57.527430511 * ( 1 - 26.62% ) = $42.213340871819 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 16.5 * 0.5 * 26.62% = $2.20045053 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 42.213340871819 + 2.20045053 = $44.413791401819 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Meritage Hospitality Group's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $54.6 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Meritage Hospitality Group's current cash and cash equivalent = $19.4 Mil.
Meritage Hospitality Group's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 541.2 + 74.7 = $615.937 Mil.
Meritage Hospitality Group's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 8.2 Mil.

Meritage Hospitality Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 44.413791401819 - 54.6)/ 9%+19.4-615.937 )/8.2
=-86.11

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -86.111554043405-17.50 )/-86.111554043405
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Meritage Hospitality Group  (OTCPK:MHGU) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Meritage Hospitality Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Meritage Hospitality Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Meritage Hospitality Group (Meritage Hospitality Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
45 Ottawa Avenue SW, Suite 600, Grand Rapids, MI, USA, 49503
Meritage Hospitality Group Inc is one of the nation's premier restaurant operators, with more than 300 restaurants in operation located in Arkansas, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia.
Executives
Duane F Kluting director 3100 44TH STREET SW, GRANDVILLE MI 49418
Roger L Zingle officer: Chief Operating Officer 6132 PICKWOOD DRIVE, WEST BLOOMFIELD MI 48322
Gary A Rose officer: VP, CFO & Treasurer 223 EAST MT. GARFIELD ROAD, NORTON SHORES MI 49441
Robert E. Schermer Revocable Living Trust U/a Dated 4/28/97 10 percent owner C/O ROBERT W. BAIRD & CO. INC., 333 BRIDGE STREET, N.W., SUITE 1000, GRAND RAPIDS MI 49504
Gulis Stephen L Jr director 9341 COURTLAND DRIVE NE, ROCKFORD MI 49351
James R Saalfeld officer: VP, Secretary and Treasurer MERITAGE HOSPITALITY GROUP INC, 1971 EAST BELTLINE AVE, N.E., STE. 200, GRAND RAPIDS MI 49525
Robert H Potts officer: Vice President of Real Estate 1971 EAST BELTLINE AVE NE, GRAND RAPIDS MI 49525
Schermer Robert E Jr director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1971 EAST BELTLINE AVE, N.E., SUITE 200, GRAND RAPIDS MI 49525
Robert E Riley director, 10 percent owner, officer: President 40 PEARL STREET NW, SUITE 900, GRAND RAPIDS MI 49503
James P Bishop director 4230 SOUTH WESTNEDGE, KALAMAZOO MI 49006
Schermer Robert E Sr director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman of the Board C/O ROBERT W BLAIR & CO. INC., 333 BRIDGE STREET, SUITE 1000, GRAND RAPIDS MI 49504
Joseph L Maggini director 4242 CLAY STREET SW, GRAND RAPIDS MI 49548
Brian N Mcmahon director 542 TONBRIDGE COURT, PERRYSBURG OH 43551