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Blackrock NY Municipalome Tr (Blackrock NY Municipalome Tr) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Blackrock NY Municipalome Tr Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Blackrock NY Municipalome Tr's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Blackrock NY Municipalome Tr's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Blackrock NY Municipalome Tr's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blackrock NY Municipalome Tr's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Blackrock NY Municipalome Tr's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blackrock NY Municipalome Tr's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Blackrock NY Municipalome Tr Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.02

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Blackrock NY Municipalome Tr  (NYSE:BNY) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Blackrock NY Municipalome Tr Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Blackrock NY Municipalome Tr (Blackrock NY Municipalome Tr) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
100 Bellevue Parkway, Wilmington, DE, USA, 19809
Blackrock NY Municipal Income Tr has an investment objective to provide current income exempt from regular U.S. federal income tax and New York State and New York City personal income taxes. The Trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing primarily in municipal bonds exempt from U.S. federal income taxes and New York State and New York City personal income taxes.
Executives
Arthur Philip Steinmetz director 50 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Aaron David Wasserman officer: Chief Compliance Officer 50 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Kristi Manidis Santiago other: Portfolio Manager 1 UNIVERSITY SQUARE DRIVE, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Phillip Soccio other: Portfolio Manager 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Kevin Maloney other: Portfolio Manager 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Michael Kalinoski other: Portfolio Manager 800 SCUDDERS MILL ROAD, PLAINSBORO NJ 08536
Christian Romaglino other: Portfolio Manager 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Lorenzo Flores director 2100 LOGIC DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95124
James Phillip Holloman director P.O. BOX 625737, 6800 CINTAS BOULEVARD, CINCINNATI OH 45262
Stayce D. Harris director 1999 S. BASCOM AVE., SUITE 700, CAMPBELL CA 95008
Wells Fargo Bank N A 10 percent owner 101 NORTH PHILLIPS AVENUE, SIOUX FALLS SD 57104
Robert Glenn Hubbard director 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Richard Cavanagh director 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Michael J Castellano director C/O LAZARD LLC, 30 ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10020
Banc Of America Preferred Funding Corp 10 percent owner 214 NORTH TRYON STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28255