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Calamos Strategic Total Return Fund (Calamos Strategic Total Return Fund) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Calamos Strategic Total Return Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Calamos Strategic Total Return Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Calamos Strategic Total Return Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Calamos Strategic Total Return Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Calamos Strategic Total Return Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Calamos Strategic Total Return Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Calamos Strategic Total Return Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Calamos Strategic Total Return Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.36

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Calamos Strategic Total Return Fund  (NAS:CSQ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Calamos Strategic Total Return Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Calamos Strategic Total Return Fund (Calamos Strategic Total Return Fund) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2020 Calamos Court, Naperville, IL, USA, 60563-2787
Calamos Strategic Total Return Fund is a diversified, closed-end management investment company. The fund's investment strategy is to provide total return through a combination of capital appreciation and current income. Its investment portfolio consists of equities, convertible securities and high-yield corporate bonds.
Executives
John S. Koudounis officer: Vice President 2020 CALAMOS COURT, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Erik D. Ojala officer: VP, Sec'y & Chief Legal Off. 2020 CALAMOS CT., NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Susan L Schoenberger officer: VP and Assistant Secretary 2020 CALAMOS COURT, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Thrivent Financial For Lutherans 10 percent owner 901 MARQUETTE AVENUE, SUITE 2500, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402-3211
Apollo Management Holdings, L.p. 10 percent owner 9 W. 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Apollo Life Asset L.p. 10 percent owner C/O WALKERS CORPORATE LIMITED, CAYMAN CORPORATE CENTER, 27 HOSPITAL RD, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9008
Apollo Life Asset Gp, Llc 10 percent owner C/O WALKERS CORPORATE LIMITED, CAYMAN CORPORATE CENTER, 27 HOSPITAL RD, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9008
Aisg Gp Ltd. 10 percent owner C/O WALKERS CORPORATE LIMITED, CAYMAN CORPORATE CENTER, 27 HOSPITAL RD, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9008
Aviva Life & Annuity Co 10 percent owner 7700 MILLS CIVIC PARKWAY, WEST DES MOINES IA 50266
Apollo Insurance Solutions Group Lp 10 percent owner 2121 ROSECRANS AVE, STE 5300, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Lion Connecticut Holdings Inc. 10 percent owner ONE ORANGE WAY, WINDSOR CT 06095
Apollo Management Holdings Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 9 W. 57TH STREET, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Voya Financial, Inc. 10 percent owner 230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Apollo Capital Management Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 9 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Apollo Capital Management, L.p. 10 percent owner 9 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019

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