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Biora Therapeutics (Biora Therapeutics) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 14.38% (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is Biora Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Biora Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 14.38%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Biora Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Biora Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Biora Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Biora Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Biora Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Biora Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-1.78

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=14.38%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Biora Therapeutics  (NAS:BIOR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Biora Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Biora Therapeutics (Biora Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4330 La Jolla Village Drive, Suite 300, San Diego, CA, USA, 92122
Biora Therapeutics Inc is a biotechnology company engaged in developing oral biotherapeutics. Its drug-device combinations could enable new treatment approaches in the delivery of therapeutics in two main areas: Targeted delivery of therapeutics to the site of disease in the gastrointestinal ("GI") tract, which is designed to improve outcomes for patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD); and Systemic delivery of biotherapeutics, which are designed to replace injection with needle-free, oral delivery technology. Geographically, it operates only in the United States.
Executives
Athyrium Opportunities Iii Co-invest 1 Lp 10 percent owner 505 FIFTH AVENUE, FLOOR 18, NEW YORK NY 10017
Surbhi Sarna director ONE PENUMBRA PLACE, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Aditya P. Mohanty director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1010 ATLANTIC AVENUE, SUITE 102, ALAMEDA CA 94501
Jill Ann Howe director C/O DTX PHARMA, INC., 10655 SORRENTO VALLEY ROAD, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Athyrium Capital Management, Lp 10 percent owner 505 FIFTH AVENUE, FLOOR 18, NEW YORK NY 10017
Athyrium Opportunities Fund (a) Lp 10 percent owner 605 THIRD AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10158
Hutan Hashemi officer: Chief Compliance Officer 4330 LA JOLLA VILLAGE DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Damon Silvestry officer: Chief Operating Officer 4330 LA JOLLA VILLAGE DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Jeffrey D. Alter director 4330 LA JOLLA VILLAGE DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Athyrium Opportunities Iii Acquisition Lp 10 percent owner 505 FIFTH AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Harry Stylli director, officer: Chairman & CEO 3595 JOHN HOPKINS CT, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Matthew T Cooper officer: Chief Scientific Officer 4330 LA JOLLA VILLAGE DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Athyrium Opportunities Advisers Llc 10 percent owner 1209 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10104
Athyrium Opportunities Associates Gp Llc 10 percent owner 1209 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10104
Athyrium Opportunities Associates Lp 10 percent owner 1209 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10104