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Mfs Investment Grade Municipal Trust (Mfs Investment Grade Municipal Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Mfs Investment Grade Municipal Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Mfs Investment Grade Municipal Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Mfs Investment Grade Municipal Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Mfs Investment Grade Municipal Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mfs Investment Grade Municipal Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Mfs Investment Grade Municipal Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mfs Investment Grade Municipal Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Mfs Investment Grade Municipal Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.31

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Mfs Investment Grade Municipal Trust  (NYSE:CXH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Mfs Investment Grade Municipal Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Mfs Investment Grade Municipal Trust (Mfs Investment Grade Municipal Trust) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
111 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA, USA, 02199
Mfs Investment Grade Municipal Trust is a United States-based diversified closed-end management investment company. Its investment objective is to seek high current income exempt from federal income tax, but may also consider capital appreciation. The fund invests a majority of its net assets, including assets attributable to preferred shares and borrowing for investment purposes, in tax-exempt bonds and tax-exempt notes.
Executives
Saba Capital Management, L.p. 10 percent owner 405 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 58TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10174
Linda Dougherty other: OFFICER OF ADVISOR 111 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02199
Boaz Weinstein 10 percent owner 405 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 58TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10174
Jason Kosty other: PORTFOLIO MANAGER 111 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02199
Rosa Licea-mailloux other: CHIEF COMPLIANCE OFFICER 111 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02199
Jpmorgan Chase Bank, N.a. 10 percent owner 1111 POLARIS PARKWAY, COLUMBUS OH 43240
Manjit Singh director 111 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02072
Melissa Kennedy other: OFFICER OF ADVISOR 111 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02199
Jacques Jr Goulet other: OFFICER OF ADVISOR 111 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02199
Peter Darrell Jones director 111 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02199
Edward M. Maloney officer: Officer of Advisor 111 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02199
James W. Kilman director 111 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02199
Carol W. Geremia officer: PRESIDENT 111 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02199
Kevin D Strain other: Officer of Advisor MFS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, 111 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02199
Karpus Management, Inc. 10 percent owner 183 SULLY'S TRAIL, PITTSFORD NY 14534