GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » DUFF & PHELPS UTILITY & CORPORATE BOND TRUST INC (NYSE:DUC) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

DUFF & PHELPS UTILITYRPORATE BOND TRUST (DUFF & PHELPS UTILITYRPORATE BOND TRUST) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 05, 2024)


View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is DUFF & PHELPS UTILITYRPORATE BOND TRUST Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, DUFF & PHELPS UTILITYRPORATE BOND TRUST's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of DUFF & PHELPS UTILITYRPORATE BOND TRUST's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, DUFF & PHELPS UTILITYRPORATE BOND TRUST's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


DUFF & PHELPS UTILITYRPORATE BOND TRUST's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, DUFF & PHELPS UTILITYRPORATE BOND TRUST's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DUFF & PHELPS UTILITYRPORATE BOND TRUST's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



DUFF & PHELPS UTILITYRPORATE BOND TRUST Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


DUFF & PHELPS UTILITYRPORATE BOND TRUST  (NYSE:DUC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


DUFF & PHELPS UTILITYRPORATE BOND TRUST Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of DUFF & PHELPS UTILITYRPORATE BOND TRUST's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


DUFF & PHELPS UTILITYRPORATE BOND TRUST (DUFF & PHELPS UTILITYRPORATE BOND TRUST) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
200 South Wacker Drive, Suite 500, Chicago, IL, USA, 60606
DUFF & PHELPS UTILITY & CORPORATE BOND TRUST INC is a diversified, closed-end management investment company. Its investment objective is to seek high current income consistent with investing in securities of investment-grade quality.
Executives
George W Karpus other: See Explanation of Responses
Grumhaus David D Jr. other: Officer of Investment Adviser 200 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 500, CHICAGO IL 60606
Hoffman Clifford W. Jr. director C/O DUFF & PHELPS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, 200 E. WACKER DR., CHICAGO IL 60606
William J Renahan officer: VP and Secretary 399 PARK AVENUE, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Donald C Burke director C/O BLACKROCK FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 40 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Blue Ridge Investments, L.l.c. 10 percent owner ONE BRYANT PARK, NEW YORK NY 10036
Bank Of America Corp /de/ 10 percent owner BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATE CENTER, 100 N TRYON ST, CHARLOTTE NC 28255
Eileen A Moran director 800 SCUDDERS HILL ROAD, PLAINSBORO NJ 08536
Robert J Genetski director 195 N. HARBOR DR, SUITE 4903, CHICAGO IL 60601
Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Inc. 10 percent owner 4 WORLD FINANCIAL CENTER, NORTH TOWER, NEW YORK NY 10080
Eric Elvekrog other: Officer of Adviser 200 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 500, CHICAGO IL 60606
Daniel Petrisko officer: VP and CIO 800 SCUDDERS HILL ROAD, PLAINSBORO NJ 08536
Michael A Angerthal other: Director of the Adviser C/O VIRTUS INVESTMENT PARTNERS, INC., 100 PEARL STREET, HARTFORD CT 06103
Stewart E Conner director
Duckworth Connie K director EIGHT WINGS ENTERPRISES, 77 STONE AGTE LANE, LAKE FOREST IL 60045