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Diversicare Healthcare Services (Diversicare Healthcare Services) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Diversicare Healthcare Services Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Diversicare Healthcare Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Diversicare Healthcare Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Diversicare Healthcare Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Diversicare Healthcare Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Diversicare Healthcare Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Diversicare Healthcare Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Diversicare Healthcare Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Diversicare Healthcare Services  (OTCPK:DVCR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Diversicare Healthcare Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Diversicare Healthcare Services (Diversicare Healthcare Services) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1621 Galleria Boulevard, Brentwood, TN, USA, 37027
Diversicare Healthcare Services Inc provides post-acute care services to the skilled nursing facility, patients, and residents in ten states, primarily in the Southeast, Midwest, and Southwest United States. The company provides a broad range of post-acute care services to patients and residents including skilled nursing, ancillary health care services and assisted living. In addition to the nursing and social services usually provided in long-term care centers, it also offers a variety of rehabilitative, nutritional, respiratory, and other specialized ancillary services. The group derives revenue from Medicaid, Medicare, Managed Care, and Private Pay and Other sources.
Executives
Osmium Partners, Llc 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Osmium Spartan L P 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
John Hartnett Lewis 10 percent owner 388 MARKET STREET, SUITE 920, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Osmium Capital Ii, Lp 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Osmium Capital Lp 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Rebecca Bodie officer: Executive VP & COO 1621 GALLERIA BLVD. BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Kerry D. Massey officer: Executive V.P. & CFO 1621 GALLERIA BLVD. BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Leslie K. Morgan director C/O DIVERSICARE HEALTHCARE SERVICES INC. 1621 GALLERIA BLVD. BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Leslie Campbell officer: COO and Executive VP 1621 GALLERIA BOULEVARD BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Mcknight James Reed Jr. director, officer: CEO and President 1621 GALLERIA BOULEVARD BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Robert Z Hensley director C/O 1621 GALLERY BLVD., BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Richard M Brame director C/O 1621 GALLERY BLVD. BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Leedle Ben R Jr director 3841 GREEN HILLS VILLAGE DR NASHVILLE TN 37215
Mccabe Robert A Jr director 500 CHURCH ST, STE 200, NASHVILLE TN 37219
Chad A. Mccurdy director, 10 percent owner 1621 GALLERIA BLVD BRENTWOOD TN 37027

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