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Global Blood Therapeutics (Global Blood Therapeutics) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Global Blood Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Global Blood Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Global Blood Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Global Blood Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Global Blood Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Global Blood Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Global Blood Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Global Blood Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-10.40

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Global Blood Therapeutics  (NAS:GBT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Global Blood Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Global Blood Therapeutics (Global Blood Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
181 Oyster Point Boulevard, South San Francisco, CA, USA, 94080
Global Blood Therapeutics Inc operates in the healthcare sector of the United States. It discovers and develops novel therapeutics to address blood-based disorders. GBT440, its lead drug candidate targets the underlying mechanism of red blood cell (RBC) sickling, which provides the potential to treat sickle cell disease. GBT440. an oral, once-daily therapy arrests abnormal hemoglobin polymerization, the underlying mechanism of RBC sickling. In addition, the company is engaged in other research and development activities targeted at hereditary angioedema and owns exclusively licensed rights to its portfolio of product candidates in the United States, Europe, and other major markets.
Executives
Jeffrey S Farrow officer: Chief Financial Officer TWO CORPORATE DRIVE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Nazila Habibizad officer: See Remarks C/O GLOBAL BLOOD THERAPEUTICS, INC. 181 OYSTER POINT BLVD SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Dawn Svoronos director C/O MEDIVATION, INC., 525 MARKET ST., 36TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Philip A. Pizzo director ONE COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 2550, MEMPHIS TN 38103
Scott W Morrison director C/O GLOBAL BLOOD THERAPEUTICS, INC., 400 EAST JAMIE COURT SUITE 101, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Carrie Krehlik officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 6015 COLTON BLVD, OAKLAND CA 94611
Eric Fink officer: Chief Human Resources Officer C/O GLOBAL BLOOD THERAPEUTICS, INC. 171 OYSTER POINT BLVD., SUITE 300 SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Kim Smith-whitley officer: See Remarks C/O GLOBAL BLOOD THERAPEUTICS, INC. 181 OYSTER POINT BLVD. SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Alexis A. Thompson director C/O GLOBAL BLOOD THERAPEUTICS, INC. 181 OYSTER POINT BLVD. SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Brian Edwin Cathers officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O GLOBAL BLOOD THERAPEUTICS, INC. 171 OYSTER POINT BLVD., SUITE 300 SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Lesley Ann Calhoun officer: See Remarks C/O GLOBAL BLOOD THERAPEUTICS, INC., 171 OYSTER POINT BOULEVARD, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Mark L Perry director 176 WEST BLITHEDALE AVE, MILL VALLEY CA 94941
Ted W Love director, officer: See Remarks C/O GLOBAL BLOOD THERAPEUTICS, INC., 400 EAST JAMIE COURT, SUITE 101, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Tricia Borga Suvari officer: Chief Legal Officer 3172 PORTER DRIVE PALO ALTO CA 94034
Brown Willie L. Jr. director C/O GLOBAL BLOOD THERAPEUTICS, INC. 400 EAST JAMIE COURT, SUITE 101 SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080

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