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State Energy Group International Assets Holdings (HKSE:00918) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.11% (As of Jun. 05, 2024)


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What is State Energy Group International Assets Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, State Energy Group International Assets Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of State Energy Group International Assets Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, State Energy Group International Assets Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


State Energy Group International Assets Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, State Energy Group International Assets Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where State Energy Group International Assets Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



State Energy Group International Assets Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.83

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.11%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


State Energy Group International Assets Holdings  (HKSE:00918) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


State Energy Group International Assets Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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State Energy Group International Assets Holdings (HKSE:00918) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1 Hok Cheung Street, Unit 13, 5th Floor, Tower 1, Harbour Centre, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
State Energy Group International Assets Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. It is principally engaged in the sourcing, subcontracting, marketing, and selling of outerwear garments and sportswear products, property investment, and provision of marketing services. The company's operating segment includes Garment business; Property investment and Marketing services. Revenue mainly represents the consideration of goods sold, rental income received and receivable and marketing services provided. It generates maximum revenue from the Garment business segment.
Executives
Zhang Jinbing 2101 Beneficial owner
Always Profit Development Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Golden Bold Holdings Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Wang Yuelai 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Chong Kin Group Holdings Ltd. 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
State Energy Hk Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Shang Hai Zhong She Gu Quan Tou Zi Ji Jin You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shang Hai Guo Ming Gu Quan Tou Zi Ji Jin Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Liu Quan Hui 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Guo Neng Shang Ye Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Niu Fang 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hu Zhang Cui 2202 Interest of your spouse

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