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Yuxing InfoTech Investment Holdings (HKSE:08005) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.23% (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is Yuxing InfoTech Investment Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Yuxing InfoTech Investment Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.23%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Yuxing InfoTech Investment Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Consumer Electronics subindustry, Yuxing InfoTech Investment Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Yuxing InfoTech Investment Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Yuxing InfoTech Investment Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Yuxing InfoTech Investment Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Yuxing InfoTech Investment Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.09

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.23%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Yuxing InfoTech Investment Holdings  (HKSE:08005) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Yuxing InfoTech Investment Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Yuxing InfoTech Investment Holdings (HKSE:08005) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 3609 Baishi Road, Unit 3310, Block A1, Building 9, Shenzhenwan Science and Technology Ecological Garden, District 2, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, CHN
Yuxing InfoTech Investment Holdings Ltd is a China-based conglomerate that is mainly involved in the information home appliances business, investing, and trading. It operates in five segments. Information Home Appliances segment which derives majority revenue involves in the manufacture, sales, and distribution of information home appliances and complementary products to consumer markets. The Investing segment includes trading of securities and investing in financial instruments. The Leasing segment comprises leasing out of properties. The IDC segment consists of construction, operation, and leasing out of properties. The Other Operations segment refers to the trading of miscellaneous materials. It has a business presence mainly in Australia, the People's Republic of China, and Hong Kong.
Executives
Geely Group Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Li Shu Fu 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Cong Yu 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Cong Yu Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Foo Yatyan 2101 Beneficial owner
Honbridge Holdings Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Hong Bridge Capital Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
He Xuechu 2101 Beneficial owner
Cedar Surplus Investments Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Unicorn Resources Inc. 2101 Beneficial owner
Zhu Weisha 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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