Komercni Banka AS (Komercni Banka AS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of May. 18, 2024)

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What is Komercni Banka AS Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Komercni Banka AS's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Komercni Banka AS's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Komercni Banka AS's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Komercni Banka AS's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Komercni Banka AS's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Komercni Banka AS's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Komercni Banka AS Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.39

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments)

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Komercni Banka AS (OTCPK:KMERF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Komercni Banka AS Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Komercni Banka AS (Komercni Banka AS) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Komercni Banka AS (OTCPK:KMERF) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

0IKH:UK KONN:Germany KOMB:Czech Republic

Address

Na Prikope 33/969, P.O. BOX 839, Prague 1, CZE, 114 07

Website

https://www.kb.cz

Komercni Banka AS is a universal bank providing a wide range of retail, corporate, and investment banking activities. These activities are complemented by specialized financial services provided by its subsidiaries. The bank operates primarily in the Czech Republic, as well as providing some services to corporate clients in Slovakia. The bank's strategy emphasizes long-term client relationships and creating solutions based on client feedback. Most of the bank's net revenue is net interest income primarily from loans and advances to customers. The bank's loan portfolio is tilted toward the real estate, wholesale, and transportation industries, as well as public administration.