GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Omeros Corp (NAS:OMER) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Omeros (Omeros) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of May. 01, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2009. Start your Free Trial

What is Omeros Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Omeros's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Omeros's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Omeros's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Omeros's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Omeros's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Omeros's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Omeros Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.04

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Omeros  (NAS:OMER) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Omeros Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Omeros's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Omeros (Omeros) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Omeros Corp (NAS:OMER) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
201 Elliott Avenue West, Seattle, WA, USA, 98119
Omeros Corp is a United States-based clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company engaged in discovering, developing and commercializing small-molecule and protein therapeutics for large-market as well as orphan indications targeting immunologic disorders including complement-mediated diseases, cancers, and addictive and compulsive disorders. The lead drug candidate in pipeline of complement-targeted therapeutics is narsoplimab (OMS721), a proprietary, patented human monoclonal antibody targeting mannan-binding lectin-associated serine protease 2, the key activator of the lectin pathway of complement. Clinical development of narsoplimab is currently focused on hematopoietic stem cell transplant-associated thrombotic microangiopathy and immunoglobulin nephropathy.
Executives
Demopulos Gregory A Md director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, CEO & President 201 ELLIOTT AVENUE WEST, SEATTLE WA 98119
Demopulos Peter A Md director 201 ELLIOTT AVENUE WEST, SEATTLE WA 98119
Arnold C Hanish director 201 ELLIOTT AVENUE WEST, SEATTLE WA 98119
Thomas J. Cable director 201 ELLIOTT AVENUE WEST, SEATTLE WA 98119
Diana T. Perkinson director 201 ELLIOTT AVENUE WEST, SEATTLE WA 98119
Michael A Jacobsen officer: VP Finance and CAO 201 ELLIOTT AVENUE WEST, SEATTLE WA 98119
Kurt Zumwalt director 201 ELLIOTT AVENUE WEST, SEATTLE WA 98119
Peter B Cancelmo officer: See Remarks 201 ELLIOTT AVENUE WEST, SEATTLE WA 98119
Thomas F. Bumol director 201 ELLIOT AVENUE WEST, SEATTLE WA 98119
Marcia S. Kelbon officer: VP Patent and General Counsel 201 ELLIOTT AVENUE WEST, SEATTLE WA 98119
Ray Aspiri director 201 ELLIOTT AVENUE WEST, SEATTLE WA 98119
Hood Leroy E. Md Phd director 201 ELLIOTT AVENUE WEST, SEATTLE WA 98119
Rajiv Shah director C/O ARCADIA BIOSCIENCES, INC., 202 COUSTEAU PLACE, SUITE 105, DAVIS CA 95618
Daniel K Spiegelman director MYRIAD GENETICS, 320 WAKARA WAY, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84003
Jean-philippe Tripet director 1420 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 2600, SEATTLE WA 98101-2347