What is PositiveID Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PositiveID's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of PositiveID's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Diagnostics & Research subindustry, PositiveID's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
PositiveID's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Medical Diagnostics & Research Industry
For the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry and Healthcare sector, PositiveID's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where PositiveID's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
PositiveID Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
PositiveID (PositiveID) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1690 South Congress Avenue, Suite 201, Delray Beach, FL, USA, 33445
PositiveID Corp is a life science tools and diagnostics company. It specializes in the biological detection and molecular diagnostic systems for homeland defense and the global healthcare market. The business activity of the firm includes the development of microfluidic systems in order to detect biological threats and outbreaks, whether airborne, in a healthcare setting, or at the point of need through its subsidiary. Further, it is also involved in the development of FireflyDX family of products, automated pathogen detection system for rapid diagnostics, both for clinical and point-of-need applications. In addition, it also manufactures specialty technology vehicles focused primarily on mobile laboratory and communications applications. All the activities are carried out through the US.
Executives
| Ned L Siegel |
director |
600 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, LOS ANGELES CA 90017 |
| Michael E Krawitz |
director |
1690 S CONGRESS AVE, STE 201, DELRAY BEACH FL 33445 |
| Barry M Edelstein |
director |
1100 GREEN VALLEY ROAD, BRYN MAWR PA 19010 |
| Scott R Silverman |
other: Former 10% Owner |
|
| Marxe Austin W & Greenhouse David M |
10 percent owner |
C/O SPECIAL SITUATIONS FUNDS, 527 MADISON AVENUE, SUITE 2600, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
| Weaver Constance K |
director |
2900 ESPERANZA CROSSING, 2ND FLOOR, AUSTIN TX 78758 |
| Tommy G Thompson |
director |
7711 CARONDELET, ST. LOUIS MO 63105 |
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