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Ruth's Hospitality Group (Ruth's Hospitality Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Ruth's Hospitality Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Ruth's Hospitality Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Ruth's Hospitality Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Restaurants subindustry, Ruth's Hospitality Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ruth's Hospitality Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ruth's Hospitality Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ruth's Hospitality Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Ruth's Hospitality Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.53

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Ruth's Hospitality Group  (NAS:RUTH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Ruth's Hospitality Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Ruth's Hospitality Group (Ruth's Hospitality Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1030 W. Canton Avenue, Suite 100, Winter Park, FL, USA, 32789
Ruth's Hospitality Group Inc operates or franchises more than 150 fine-dining restaurants under the name Ruth's Chris Steak House. The company has two reportable segments namely owned steakhouse and franchise operations. It generates maximum revenue from owned steakhouse segment. The company revenues are derived from the sale of food and beverage. It also has a presence in Aruba, Canada, China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Mexico, Singapore, and Taiwan.
Executives
Mark Kupferman officer: SVP, Chief Commercial Officer 1030 WEST CANTON AVENUE, SUITE 100, WINTER PARK FL 32789
Susan Mirdamadi officer: EVP, Chief Admin Officer 1030 W CANTON AVE STE 100, WINTER PARK FL 32789
Michael P Odonnell director, officer: President, CEO and Director 9659 PRESTON TRAIL WEST, PONTE VEDRA BEACH FL 32082
Mary Baglivo director C/O SAATCHI & SAATCHI, 17 HUDSON STREET, NEW YORK NY 10014
Marie Perry director 26745 MALIBU HILLS RD, CALABASAS CA 91301
Stephen M King director 2481 MANANA DRIVE, DALLAS TX 75220
David Hyatt officer: Chief People Officer 1030 W. CANTON AVE., SUITE 100, WINTER PARK FL 32789
Marcy Norwood Lynch officer: See Remarks 1030 W. CANTON AVENUE, SUITE 100, WINTER PARK FL 32789
Kristy Chipman officer: See Remarks 1030 W. CANTON AVENUE, SUITE 100, WINTER PARK FL 32789
Alice G Givens officer: SVP, General Counsel 4901 BAKERS MILL LANE, RICHMOND VA 23230
Cheryl Janet Henry officer: Chief Branding Officer C/O RUTH'S HOSPITALITY GROUP, INC., 1030 W. CANTON AVENUE, STE. 100, WINTER PARK FL 32789
Kevin W Toomy officer: P&COO- Ruth's Chris Steak Hse 500 INTERNATIONAL PARKWAY, SUITE 100, HEATHROW FL 32746
Alan Vituli director 968 JAMES STREET, SYRACUSE NY 13203
Carla Cooper director 555 W. MONROE STREET, #08-01, CHICAGO IL 60661
Arne G. Haak officer: Chief Financial Officer / EVP 1839 SENECA BOULEVARD, WINTER SPRINGS FL 32708