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Interface (Interface) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Interface Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Interface's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Interface's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Interface's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Interface's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Interface's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Interface's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Interface Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.08

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Interface  (NAS:TILE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Interface Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Interface (Interface) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » Interface Inc (NAS:TILE) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1280 West Peachtree Street, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30309
Interface Inc is engaged in the designing, production, and sale of carpet tile. It also provides Luxury Vinyl tiles and rubber flooring. The company mainly targets corporate and noncorporate office markets, including government, education, healthcare, hospitality, and retailers. Its geographical segments include the Americas, Europe, and Asia-Pacific.
Executives
Stansfield Nigel officer: VP & Chief Innovation Officer 2859 PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 2000, ATLANTA GA 30339
Robert T O'brien director 1280 WEST PEACHTREE STREET NW, ATLANTA GA 30309
Laurel Hurd officer: President & CEO C/O NEWELL BRANDS INC., 6655 PEACHTREE DUNWOODY ROAD, ATLANTA GA 30328
James Poppens officer: Vice President 1280 WEST PEACHTREE STREET NW, ATLANTA GA 30309
Robert Pridgen officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1280 WEST PEACHTREE STREET NW, ATLANTA GA 30309
Christopher G Kennedy director C/O INTERFACE INC, 2859 PACES FERRY ROAD SUITE 2000, ATLANTA GA 30339
Gibson Dwight Audley Konrad director C/O SPX FLOW, 13320 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Joseph Keough director 3715 NORTHSIDE PKWY NW, SUITE 4-600, ATLANTA GA 30327
Andreas Mueller officer: VP & Chief Customer Officer 1280 WEST PEACHTREE ST. NW, ATLANTA GA 30309
Catherine M Kilbane director
Daniel T Hendrix director, officer: President and CEO 2859 PACES ROAD, ATLANTA GA 30339
Gregory J Bauer officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 2859 PACES FERRY RD., STE 2000, ATLANTA GA 30339
Robert Coombs officer: Vice President 2850 PACES FERRY RD, STE 2000, ATLANTA GA 30339
Jeffrey Chadwick Scales officer: VP & Chief Innovation Officer 2859 PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 2000, ATLANTA GA 30339
Bruce Andrew Hausmann officer: VP & CFO 2859 PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 2000, ATLANTA GA 30339