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Treace Medical Concepts (Treace Medical Concepts) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.82% (As of Jun. 10, 2024)


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What is Treace Medical Concepts Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Treace Medical Concepts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.82%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Treace Medical Concepts's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Devices subindustry, Treace Medical Concepts's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Treace Medical Concepts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Treace Medical Concepts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Treace Medical Concepts's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Treace Medical Concepts Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-4.79

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.82%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Treace Medical Concepts  (NAS:TMCI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Treace Medical Concepts Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Treace Medical Concepts (Treace Medical Concepts) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
100 Palmetto Park Place, Ponte Vedra, FL, USA, 32081
Treace Medical Concepts Inc is a commercial-stage orthopaedic medical device company. It is focused on advancing the standard of care for the surgical management of bunion deformities. The company's patented Lapiplasty 3D Bunion Correction procedure is designed to reproducibly correct all planes of the bunion deformity and address the root cause of the bunion, while allowing patients to return to their active lives quickly. The Company operates and manages its business as one segment, which is the business of designing, manufacturing, and marketing medical devices for physicians, surgeons, ambulatory surgery centers, and hospitals.
Executives
F Barry Bays director
Betsy Hanna director C/O TREACE MEDICAL CONCEPTS, INC., 203 FORT WADE RD #150, PONTE VEDRA BEACH FL 32081
Deepti Jain director 3701 WAYZATA BLVD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55416
Sean F. Scanlan officer: See Remarks C/O TREACE MEDICAL CONCEPTS, INC., 203 FORT WADE ROAD, SUITE 150, PONTE VEDRA FL 32081
James T Treace director 117 BRISTOL PLACE, PONTE VEDRA BEACH FL 32082
Richard W Mott director 1221 CROSSMAN AVENUE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Thomas E Timbie director
Daniel E. Owens officer: Chief HR Officer C/O TREACE MEDICAL CONCEPTS, INC., 203 FORT WADE ROAD, SUITE 150, PONTE VEDRA FL 32081
Scot Michael Elder officer: *See "Remarks" C/O TREACE MEDICAL CONCEPTS, INC., 203 FORT WADE ROAD, SUITE 150, PONTE VEDRA FL 32081
Mark Hair officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O RESTORATION ROBOTICS, INC., 128 BAYTECH DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Aaron Berutti officer: Sr. VP, Sales C/O TREACE MEDICAL CONCEPTS, INC., 203 FORT WADE ROAD, SUITE 150, PONTE VEDRA FL 32081
John T. Treace director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O TREACE MEDICAL CONCEPTS, INC., 203 FORT WADE ROAD, SUITE 150, PONTE VEDRA FL 32081
Lance A Berry director 5677 AIRLINE ROAD, ARLINGTON TN 38002
Jane E Kiernan director 525 W ROSCOE, CHICAGO IL 60657
John R Treace director 5677 AIRLINE RD, ARLINGTON VA 38002

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