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Tile Shop Holdings (Tile Shop Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is Tile Shop Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Tile Shop Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Tile Shop Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Home Improvement Retail subindustry, Tile Shop Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tile Shop Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Tile Shop Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tile Shop Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Tile Shop Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.68

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Tile Shop Holdings  (NAS:TTSH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Tile Shop Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Tile Shop Holdings (Tile Shop Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
14000 Carlson Parkway, Plymouth, MN, USA, 55441
Tile Shop Holdings Inc is a specialty retailer of natural stone and man-made tiles, setting and maintenance materials, and related accessories in the United States. It manufactures its setting and maintenance materials, such as thinset, grout, and sealers. The company's primary market is retail sales to consumers, contractors, designers, and home builders. The company's distribution centers are in Michigan, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Virginia, and Wisconsin.
Executives
Fund 1 Investments, Llc 10 percent owner 100 CARR 115, UNIT 1900, RINCON PR 00677
Mark Burton Davis officer: VP Inv. Relations & CAO C/O 14000 CARLSON PARKWAY, PLYMOUTH MN 55441
Pleasant Lake Partners Llc 10 percent owner 100 CARR 115 UNIT 1900, RINCON PR 00677
Karla Lunan officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O TILE SHOP HOLDINGS, INC., 14000 CARLSON PKWY., PLYMOUTH MN 55441
Deborah K Glasser director C/O TILE SHOP HOLDINGS, INC., 14000 CARLSON PARKWAY, PLYMOUTH MN 55441
Linda Solheid director C/O TILE SHOP HOLDINGS, INC., 14000 CARLSON PARKWAY, PLYMOUTH MN 55441
Robert A Rucker director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 14000 CARLSON PARKWAY, PLYMOUTH MN 55441
Philip B Livingston director 1241 EAST MAIN ST, STAMFORD CT 06902
Brc Partners Opportunity Fund, Lp other: See Remarks 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD. SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
B. Riley Financial, Inc. other: See Remarks 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
272 Capital Lp 10 percent owner 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 2100, DALLAS TX 75219
Bryant R Riley other: See Remarks C/O B. RILEY FINANCIAL, INC., 21255 BURBANK BLVD, SUITE 400, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
Wes Cummins 10 percent owner 4505 LORRAINE AVE, DALLAS TX 75205
B. Riley Securities, Inc. other: See Remarks 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
B. Riley Capital Management, Llc other: See Remarks 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD., SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025