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Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust (Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 3.10% (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 3.10%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-3.44

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=3.10%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust  (NAS:WHLR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust (Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2529 Virginia Beach Boulevard, Virginia Beach, VA, USA, 23452
Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust Inc is a self-managed commercial real estate investment company. It owns, leases and operates income-producing retail properties with a primary focus on grocery-anchored centers. The company's properties include Alex City Marketplace in Alexander City, Alabama; Bryan Station in Lexington, Kentucky; Cardinal Plaza in Henderson, North Carolina; Clover Plaza in Clover, South Carolina; Winslow Plaza in Sicklerville, New Jersey and many more.
Executives
Joseph Stilwell director, 10 percent owner 111 BROADWAY, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10006
Steamboat Capital Partners, Llc 10 percent owner 24 MAPLE AVENUE, RYE NY 10580
Corbin Capital Partners, L.p. 10 percent owner 590 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Ceof Holdings Lp 10 percent owner 590 MADISON AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Corbin Capital Partners Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 590 MADISON AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Stilwell Associates L P 10 percent owner 111 BROADWAY, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10006
Dennis Pollack director 3 PENNS TRAIL, NEWTOWN PA 18940
Kerry G. Campbell director 2529 VIRGINIA BEACH BLVD., VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23452
Megan Parisi director 200 CALLE DEL SANTO CRISTO, SEGUNDO PISO, SAN JUAN PR 00901
David J. Snyderman 10 percent owner C/O MAGNETAR FINANCIAL LLC, 1603 ORRINGTON AVENUE, 13TH FLOOR, EVANSTON IL 60201
Parsa Kiai 10 percent owner 420 LEXINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 2300, NY NY 10170
Michael Andrew Franklin officer: Interim CEO RIVERSEDGE NORTH, 2529 VIRGINIA BEACH BLVD, SUITE 200, VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23452
Supernova Management Llc 10 percent owner 1603 ORRINGTON AVENUE, 13TH FLOOR, EVANSTON IL 60201
Alec N Litowitz 10 percent owner C/O MAGNETAR FINANCIAL LLC, 1603 ORRINGTON AVENUE, 13TH FLOOR, EVANSTON IL 60201
Magnetar Capital Partners Lp 10 percent owner 1603 ORRINGTON AVE., 13TH FLOOR, EVANSTON IL 60201