What is Blue Nile Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Blue Nile's forward rate of return for was 10.03%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Blue Nile's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
NILE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 14.395 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Blue Nile Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for Blue Nile's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Blue Nile Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of Blue Nile's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Blue Nile's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Blue Nile's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Blue Nile's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Blue Nile's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Blue Nile Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
Blue Nile's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2016 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=
0.98419048
/
34.42
+
0.0717
=
10.03 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Blue Nile (NAS:NILE) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Blue Nile Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Blue Nile's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Blue Nile Inc is a Delaware corporation incorporated on March 18, 1999 as RockShop.com, Inc. The Company is an online retailer of high-quality diamonds and fine jewelery. The Company's website showcases more than 100,000 independently certified diamonds and styles of fine jewelery, including rings, wedding bands, earrings, necklaces, pendants, bracelets, gifts, and accessories. It also customizes diamond jewelry with its Build Your Own feature that offers customers the ability to customize diamond rings, pendants and earrings. It has developed an efficient online cost structure and supply solution that eliminates traditional layers of diamond wholesalers and brokers, which allows the Company to purchase its product offerings at lower prices by avoiding mark-ups imposed by intermediaries. The Company's merchandise consists of engagement and non-engagement products. The engagement product category includes gold or platinum engagement rings with a diamond center stone and loose diamonds. Its non-engagement product category includes rings, wedding bands, earrings, necklaces, pendants, bracelets, gifts and accessories containing precious metals, diamonds, gemstones, or pearls. The Company's diamond supplier relationships allow it to display suppliers diamond inventories on its website for sale to consumers without holding the diamonds in its inventory until the products are ordered by customers. It purchases polished diamonds from over 100 suppliers. Its diamond suppliers purchase rough and polished diamonds from sources throughout the world. It offers diamonds with specified characteristics in the areas of shape, cut, color, clarity, and carat weight. The Company purchases diamonds on a just in time basis from its suppliers when a customer places an order for a specific diamond and then assembles the diamond with a ring, pendant or earring setting from its inventory into customized diamond jewelry according to customers specifications. The finished jewellery is delivered to the customer generally within three to seven business days from the order date and within one business day for Signature diamonds. The Company's primary competition comes from independent jewelry stores; retail jewelry store chains, such as Tiffany & Co.; online retailers that sell jewelry and online jewelry retailers, such as Amazon.com, James Allen, and Brilliant Earth; department stores, chain stores and mass retailers, such as Nordstrom and Neiman Marcus; online auction sites, such as eBay; catalog and television shopping retailers, such as HSN and QVC; discount superstores and wholesale clubs, such as Wal-Mart and Costco Wholesale; and internet shopping clubs, such as Gilt Groupe and Rue La La.
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