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First Potomac Realty Trust (First Potomac Realty Trust) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -8.81% (As of Jun. 2017)


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What is First Potomac Realty Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. First Potomac Realty Trust's forward rate of return for was -8.81%.

The historical rank and industry rank for First Potomac Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FPO's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the REITs industry.
Industry Median: 8.245
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


First Potomac Realty Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Potomac Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Potomac Realty Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

First Potomac Realty Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -35.64 -32.79 -27.79 -19.64 -15.26

First Potomac Realty Trust Quarterly Data
Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -18.22 -20.13 -15.26 -12.45 -8.81

Competitive Comparison of First Potomac Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the REIT - Office subindustry, First Potomac Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Potomac Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, First Potomac Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Potomac Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



First Potomac Realty Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

First Potomac Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2017 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-0.66628571/11.11+-0.0281
=-8.81 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


First Potomac Realty Trust  (NYSE:FPO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


First Potomac Realty Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of First Potomac Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


First Potomac Realty Trust (First Potomac Realty Trust) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
First Potomac Realty Trust is a real estate investment trust engaged in the ownership, management, and development of commercial properties in the greater Washington D.C. area. The company's real estate portfolio is primarily composed of a mix of single-tenant and multi-tenant office properties and business parks. These assets are fairly evenly distributed between the Washington D.C., Maryland, Northern Virginia, and Southern Virginia regions in terms of square footage. First Potomac derives the vast majority of its revenue in the form of rental income from tenants. Most of this revenue comes from its properties located in Maryland and Northern Virginia. The company's largest tenants are U.S. government entities and government contractors.
Executives
Andrew P Blocher officer: EVP, CFO 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Thomas E Robinson other: Trustee 309 GARRISON FOREST ROAD, OWNINGS MILLS MD 21117
Terry L Stevens other: Trustee 3100 SMOKETREE COURT, SUITE 600, RALEIGH NC 27604
Michael H Comer officer: SVP, CAO FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Robert H Arnold other: Trustee 129 E.69TH ST., NEW YORK NY 10021
Robert Milkovich officer: President, CEO and COO 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Samantha Sacks Gallagher officer: EVP and General Counsel C/O VICI PROPERTIES INC., 535 MADISON AVE 20TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Kati M. Penney other: Trustee C/O FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
James P Hoffmann other: Trustee FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Alan G Merten other: Trustee 11020 POPES HEAD ROAD, FAIRFAX VA 22030
Richard B Chess other: Trustee 3821 DARBY DR, MIDLOTHIAN VA 23113
Douglas J Donatelli officer: CEO C/O FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Nicholas R Smith officer: EVP, CIO C/O FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
R Michael Mccullough other: Trustee 8270 GREENSBORO DR STE 950, MCLEAN VA 22102
Heller J Roderick Iii other: Trustee C/O FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814

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