What is Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack's forward rate of return for was -16.08%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
PBY's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Vehicles & Parts industry.
Industry Median: 6.285 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Auto Parts subindustry, Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry
For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack (NYSE:PBY) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack (Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack) Business Description
Pep Boys - Manny Moe & Jack began operations in 1921. The Company together with its subsidiaries offers automotive service, tires, parts and accessories. The Company operates in the U.S. automotive aftermarket, which has two general lines of business: the Service business, commonly known as Do-It-For-Me, or "DIFM" (service labor, installed merchandise and tires) and the Retail business, commonly known as Do-It-Yourself, or "DIY" (retail merchandise) and commercial. The Company's store format is the Supercenter, which serves both "DIFM" and "DIY" customers with quality service offerings and merchandise. The Company is complementing the existing Supercenter store base with Service & Tire Centers. These Service & Tire Centers are designed to capture market share and leverage the existing Supercenter and support infrastructure. The Company currently operates stores in 35 states and Puerto Rico. The Company has eight operating segments defined by geographic regions. Each Pep Boys Supercenter carries a similar product line, with variations based on the number and type of cars in the market where the store is located. A Pep Boys Service & Tire Center carries tires and a limited selection of its products. The Company's product lines include: tires batteries; new and remanufactured parts for domestic and import vehicles; chemicals and maintenance items; fashion, electronic, and performance accessories; and a limited amount of select non-automotive merchandise. In addition to offering various high quality name brand products, the Company sells an array of high quality products under various private label names. The Company sells tires under the names DEFINITY, FUTURA and CORNELL, and batteries under the name PROSTART. It also sells wheel covers under the name FUTURA; air filters, anti-freeze, chemicals, cv axles, hub assemblies, lubricants, oil, oil filters, oil treatments, transmission fluids, custom wheels and wiper blades under the name PROLINE; alternators, battery booster packs, alkaline type batteries and starters under the name PROSTART; power steering hoses, chassis parts and power steering pumps under the name PROSTEER; brakes under the name PROSTOP and brakes, batteries, starters, ignitions and chassis under the name VALUEGRADE. The Company's commercial automotive parts delivery program, branded PEP EXPRESS PARTS, is designed to increase the Company's market share with the professional installer and to leverage its inventory investment. The program satisfies the commercial customer's automotive inventory needs by taking advantage of the breadth and quality of the Company's parts inventory as well as its experience supplying its own service bays and mechanics. The Company has a point-of-sale system in all of its stores, which gathers sales and inventory data by stock-keeping unit from each store on a daily basis. It has an electronic parts catalog that allows its associates to efficiently look up the parts that its customers need
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