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PACCAR (PACCAR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $2.38 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is PACCAR Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

PACCAR's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $1.566. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $2.38 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, PACCAR's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 26.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 25.30% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 19.70% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of PACCAR was 27.40% per year. The lowest was -8.10% per year. And the median was 10.90% per year.

As of today (2024-04-30), PACCAR's current stock price is $113.64. PACCAR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $2.38. PACCAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 47.75.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of PACCAR was 75.68. The lowest was 32.15. And the median was 48.88.


PACCAR Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for PACCAR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PACCAR Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

PACCAR Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.08 1.21 1.41 1.88 2.38

PACCAR Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.88 1.99 2.08 2.28 2.38

Competitive Comparison of PACCAR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, PACCAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PACCAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, PACCAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PACCAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



PACCAR Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, PACCAR's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=1.566/129.4194*129.4194
=1.566

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

PACCAR Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 0.042 99.695 0.055
201406 0.237 100.560 0.305
201409 0.644 100.428 0.830
201412 0.175 99.070 0.229
201503 0.151 99.621 0.196
201506 0.512 100.684 0.658
201509 0.405 100.392 0.522
201512 0.490 99.792 0.635
201603 0.718 100.470 0.925
201606 0.667 101.688 0.849
201609 -1.296 101.861 -1.647
201612 0.549 101.863 0.698
201703 0.343 102.862 0.432
201706 0.166 103.349 0.208
201709 0.397 104.136 0.493
201712 0.737 104.011 0.917
201803 0.283 105.290 0.348
201806 0.245 106.317 0.298
201809 0.445 106.507 0.541
201812 1.002 105.998 1.223
201903 -0.052 107.251 -0.063
201906 0.587 108.070 0.703
201909 0.407 108.329 0.486
201912 0.765 108.420 0.913
202003 -0.059 108.902 -0.070
202006 1.230 108.767 1.464
202009 0.864 109.815 1.018
202012 0.554 109.897 0.652
202103 0.343 111.754 0.397
202106 -0.200 114.631 -0.226
202109 -0.184 115.734 -0.206
202112 1.100 117.630 1.210
202203 0.173 121.301 0.185
202206 0.511 125.017 0.529
202209 0.646 125.227 0.668
202212 1.795 125.222 1.855
202303 0.749 127.348 0.761
202306 1.341 128.729 1.348
202309 1.918 129.860 1.911
202312 1.566 129.419 1.566

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


PACCAR  (NAS:PCAR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

PACCAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=113.64/2.38
=47.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of PACCAR was 75.68. The lowest was 32.15. And the median was 48.88.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


PACCAR Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PACCAR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


PACCAR (PACCAR) Business Description

Address
777-106th Avenue N.E., Bellevue, WA, USA, 98004
Paccar is a leading manufacturer of medium- and heavy-duty trucks under the premium brands Kenworth and Peterbilt, which are primarily sold in the NAFTA region and Australia, and DAF trucks, which are sold in Europe and South America. The company's trucks are sold through over 2,300 independent dealers globally. Paccar Financial Services provides retail and wholesale financing for customers and dealers, respectively. The company commands approximately 30% of the Class 8 market share in North America and 17% of the heavy-duty market share in Europe.
Executives
Todd R Hubbard officer: VICE PRESIDENT 777 106TH AVE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Harrie Schippers officer: Vice President 777 106TH AVENUE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Brice J Poplawski officer: Vice President & Controller 777 106TH AVE. NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
R Preston Feight officer: VICE PRESIDENT 777 106TH AVE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Michael T Barkley officer: VICE PRESIDENT/CONTROLLER 777 106TH AVENUE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Cynthia Niekamp director PPG INDUSTRIES, INC., ONE PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15272
Barbara B. Hulit director C/O FORTIVE CORPORATION, 6920 SEAWAY BLVD, EVERETT WA 98203
Mark C Pigott director, officer: CHAIRMAN & CEO
C Michael Dozier officer: VICE PRESIDENT 777 106TH AVE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Paulo Henrique Bolgar officer: Vice President 777 106TH AVENUE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Jack K. Levier officer: Vice President 777 106TH AVENUE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Alison J Carnwath director 777 106TH AVENUE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Sreeganesh Ramaswamy director 5757 N. GREEN BAY AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53209
John N Rich officer: V.P. & CHIEF TECH. OFFICER 777 106TH AVENUE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Michael K Walton officer: VICE PRESIDENT/GENERAL COUNSEL 777 106TH AVENUE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004

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