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Ulta Beauty (FRA:34U) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 32.32 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-05), Ulta Beauty's current share price is €369.70. Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was €11.44. Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 32.32.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:34U' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 32.39   Med: 92.6   Max: 845.88
Current: 32.39

During the past years, Ulta Beauty's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 845.88. The lowest was 32.39. And the median was 92.60.

FRA:34U's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
78.49% of 437 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 12.97 vs FRA:34U: 32.39

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Ulta Beauty's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was €18.681. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €11.44 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Ulta Beauty Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 60.14 50.59 49.00 50.92 40.92

Ulta Beauty Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 50.92 51.93 41.23 35.88 40.92

Competitive Comparison of Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=369.70/11.44
=32.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Ulta Beauty's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Jan. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2024)
=18.681/129.4194*129.4194
=18.681

Current CPI (Jan. 2024) = 129.4194.

Ulta Beauty Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201404 0.388 100.023 0.502
201407 0.052 100.520 0.067
201410 -0.798 100.176 -1.031
201501 2.316 98.604 3.040
201504 0.167 99.824 0.217
201507 -0.327 100.691 -0.420
201510 -0.991 100.346 -1.278
201601 2.299 99.957 2.977
201604 1.566 100.947 2.008
201607 -0.613 101.524 -0.781
201610 -0.409 101.988 -0.519
201701 3.290 102.456 4.156
201704 1.476 103.167 1.852
201707 -1.004 103.278 -1.258
201710 -0.488 104.070 -0.607
201801 4.644 104.578 5.747
201804 2.716 105.708 3.325
201807 0.614 106.324 0.747
201810 0.572 106.695 0.694
201901 5.173 106.200 6.304
201904 3.015 107.818 3.619
201907 1.469 108.250 1.756
201910 0.317 108.577 0.378
202001 7.657 108.841 9.105
202004 -1.073 108.173 -1.284
202007 0.072 109.318 0.085
202010 3.058 109.861 3.602
202101 7.480 110.364 8.771
202104 4.398 112.673 5.052
202107 0.747 115.183 0.839
202110 -0.594 116.696 -0.659
202201 9.590 118.619 10.463
202204 6.256 121.978 6.638
202207 1.230 125.002 1.273
202210 -1.001 125.734 -1.030
202301 14.544 126.223 14.912
202304 3.526 127.992 3.565
202307 0.525 128.974 0.527
202310 -3.407 129.810 -3.397
202401 18.681 129.419 18.681

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Ulta Beauty  (FRA:34U) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ulta Beauty (FRA:34U) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1000 Remington Boulevard, Suite 120, Bolingbrook, IL, USA, 60440
With 1,355 stores at the end of fiscal 2022 and a partnership with Target, Ulta Beauty is the largest specialized beauty retailer in the U.S. The firm offers makeup (42% of 2022 sales), fragrances, skin care, and hair care products (21% of 2022 sales), and bath and body items. Ulta offers private-label products and merchandise from more than 500 vendors. It also offers salon services, including hair, makeup, skin, and brow services, in all stores. Most Ulta stores are approximately 10,000 square feet and are in suburban strip centers. Ulta was founded in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.

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