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Fossil Group (FRA:FSL) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 0.55 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-27), Fossil Group's current share price is €1.1625. Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €2.11. Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 0.55.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:FSL' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.32   Med: 3.39   Max: 63.2
Current: 0.53

During the past years, Fossil Group's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 63.20. The lowest was 0.32. And the median was 3.39.

FRA:FSL's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked better than
97.91% of 430 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 12.645 vs FRA:FSL: 0.53

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Fossil Group's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €-0.019. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €2.11 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Fossil Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.00 2.23 2.58 1.30 0.57

Fossil Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.05 0.86 0.69 0.57 0.42

Competitive Comparison of Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=1.1625/2.11
=0.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Fossil Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=-0.019/131.7762*131.7762
=-0.019

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Fossil Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 0.441 100.560 0.578
201409 0.148 100.428 0.194
201412 2.655 99.070 3.532
201503 1.221 99.621 1.615
201506 1.132 100.684 1.482
201509 -0.888 100.392 -1.166
201512 3.742 99.792 4.941
201603 0.277 100.470 0.363
201606 0.328 101.688 0.425
201609 -0.494 101.861 -0.639
201612 2.713 101.863 3.510
201703 0.909 102.862 1.165
201706 -0.447 103.349 -0.570
201709 0.351 104.136 0.444
201712 1.905 104.011 2.414
201803 -0.139 105.290 -0.174
201806 1.372 106.317 1.701
201809 -0.149 106.507 -0.184
201812 2.993 105.998 3.721
201903 0.002 107.251 0.002
201906 -0.680 108.070 -0.829
201909 -2.092 108.329 -2.545
201912 2.075 108.420 2.522
202003 -1.439 108.902 -1.741
202006 1.476 108.767 1.788
202009 1.343 109.815 1.612
202012 0.063 109.897 0.076
202103 -0.652 111.754 -0.769
202106 0.428 114.631 0.492
202109 -0.493 115.734 -0.561
202112 1.397 117.630 1.565
202203 -2.053 121.301 -2.230
202206 -0.964 125.017 -1.016
202209 -1.033 125.227 -1.087
202212 1.809 125.222 1.904
202303 -1.596 127.348 -1.651
202306 0.014 128.729 0.014
202309 -0.510 129.860 -0.518
202312 0.821 129.419 0.836
202403 -0.019 131.776 -0.019

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Fossil Group  (FRA:FSL) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Fossil Group (FRA:FSL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
901 S. Central Expressway, Richardson, TX, USA, 75080
Fossil Group Inc is a design, innovation and distribution company in consumer fashion accessories. The products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts and sunglasses. The reportable segments are comprised of 1) Americas segment includes sales in Canada, Latin America and the United States. 2) Europe segment includes sales in European countries, the Middle East and Africa. 3) Asia segment includes sales in Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea and Thailand. Each reportable operating segment includes sales to wholesale and distributor customers, and sales through Company-owned retail stores and e-commerce activities based on the location of the selling entity.

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