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First Tractor Co (HKSE:00038) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 10.44 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is First Tractor Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-23), First Tractor Co's current share price is HK$8.35. First Tractor Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$0.80. First Tractor Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 10.44.

The historical rank and industry rank for First Tractor Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00038' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.27   Med: 8.87   Max: 105.25
Current: 11.39

During the past years, First Tractor Co's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 105.25. The lowest was 4.27. And the median was 8.87.

HKSE:00038's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked better than
81.25% of 96 companies
in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry
Industry Median: 26.84 vs HKSE:00038: 11.39

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

First Tractor Co's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$0.207. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is HK$0.80 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


First Tractor Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Tractor Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Tractor Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

First Tractor Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 93.61 44.33 7.84 7.10

First Tractor Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.29 5.25 5.68 7.10 7.62

Competitive Comparison of First Tractor Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, First Tractor Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Tractor Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, First Tractor Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Tractor Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



First Tractor Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

First Tractor Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=8.35/0.8
=10.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

First Tractor Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, First Tractor Co's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=0.207/115.2271*115.2271
=0.207

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 115.2271.

First Tractor Co Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -0.200 98.200 -0.235
201409 -0.316 98.900 -0.368
201412 0.451 99.000 0.525
201503 -0.675 99.900 -0.779
201506 0.740 99.500 0.857
201509 0.099 100.500 0.114
201512 0.117 100.600 0.134
201603 0.258 102.200 0.291
201606 0.214 101.400 0.243
201609 0.849 102.400 0.955
201612 0.849 102.600 0.953
201703 -0.423 103.200 -0.472
201706 -0.856 103.100 -0.957
201709 0.231 104.100 0.256
201712 0.084 104.500 0.093
201803 -0.894 105.300 -0.978
201806 0.122 104.900 0.134
201809 0.040 106.600 0.043
201812 -0.087 106.500 -0.094
201903 0.195 107.700 0.209
201906 0.243 107.700 0.260
201909 -0.393 109.800 -0.412
201912 0.066 111.200 0.068
202003 -0.089 112.300 -0.091
202006 0.542 110.400 0.566
202009 0.344 111.700 0.355
202012 0.554 111.500 0.573
202103 0.167 112.662 0.171
202106 0.529 111.769 0.545
202109 0.832 112.215 0.854
202112 -1.030 113.108 -1.049
202203 0.017 114.335 0.017
202206 3.353 114.558 3.373
202209 0.423 115.339 0.423
202212 -0.146 115.116 -0.146
202303 0.143 115.116 0.143
202306 0.756 114.558 0.760
202309 0.494 115.339 0.494
202312 -0.024 114.781 -0.024
202403 0.207 115.227 0.207

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


First Tractor Co  (HKSE:00038) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


First Tractor Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

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First Tractor Co (HKSE:00038) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 154 Jianshe Road, Henan Province, Luoyang, CHN, 471004
First Tractor Co Ltd is a Chinese company engaged in the agricultural machinery manufacturing industry. Its business scope mainly includes manufacturing and selling agricultural machinery, diesel engines and fuel injections, other machinery, and an operating business of a finance company. It has four reporting divisions. The Agricultural Machinery division, which is the key revenue driver, is responsible for the production and sale of agricultural tractors, harvesters, and others. The power machinery division is mainly responsible for producing and selling diesel engines. The financial business is to handle the member units between the entrusted loans and investment, internal transfer settlement, absorption of member units deposits, and other business.

First Tractor Co (HKSE:00038) Headlines

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