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Federal Signal (Federal Signal) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $1.38 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Federal Signal Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Federal Signal's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $1.529. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $1.38 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Federal Signal's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 15.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.50% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Federal Signal was 15.90% per year. The lowest was -13.30% per year. And the median was 1.15% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), Federal Signal's current stock price is $83.88. Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $1.38. Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 60.78.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Federal Signal was 62.71. The lowest was 10.22. And the median was 30.28.


Federal Signal Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Federal Signal Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Federal Signal Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.77 0.93 1.12 1.20 1.38

Federal Signal Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.20 1.26 1.29 1.32 1.38

Competitive Comparison of Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Pollution & Treatment Controls subindustry, Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Federal Signal Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Federal Signal's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=1.529/129.4194*129.4194
=1.529

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Federal Signal Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 -0.179 99.695 -0.232
201406 0.398 100.560 0.512
201409 0.266 100.428 0.343
201412 0.438 99.070 0.572
201503 0.009 99.621 0.012
201506 0.341 100.684 0.438
201509 0.599 100.392 0.772
201512 0.432 99.792 0.560
201603 -0.117 100.470 -0.151
201606 0.148 101.688 0.188
201609 0.190 101.861 0.241
201612 0.091 101.863 0.116
201703 0.209 102.862 0.263
201706 0.501 103.349 0.627
201709 0.058 104.136 0.072
201712 0.306 104.011 0.381
201803 0.120 105.290 0.148
201806 0.385 106.317 0.469
201809 0.506 106.507 0.615
201812 0.275 105.998 0.336
201903 -0.217 107.251 -0.262
201906 0.485 108.070 0.581
201909 0.342 108.329 0.409
201912 0.485 108.420 0.579
202003 -0.070 108.902 -0.083
202006 0.865 108.767 1.029
202009 0.108 109.815 0.127
202012 0.822 109.897 0.968
202103 0.352 111.754 0.408
202106 0.134 114.631 0.151
202109 0.204 115.734 0.228
202112 0.350 117.630 0.385
202203 -0.435 121.301 -0.464
202206 0.125 125.017 0.129
202209 0.097 125.227 0.100
202212 0.520 125.222 0.537
202303 0.018 127.348 0.018
202306 0.427 128.729 0.429
202309 0.689 129.860 0.687
202312 1.529 129.419 1.529

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Federal Signal  (NYSE:FSS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=83.88/1.38
=60.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Federal Signal was 62.71. The lowest was 10.22. And the median was 30.28.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Federal Signal Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Federal Signal (Federal Signal) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1415 West 22nd Street, Suite 1100, Oak Brook, IL, USA, 60523
Federal Signal Corp designs and manufactures products and integrated solutions for municipal, governmental, industrial, and airport customers. It operates in the segments of Environmental Solutions Group and the Safety and Security Systems Group. The Environmental solutions group manufactures and supplies street sweeper vehicles, sewer cleaner and vacuum loader trucks, hydro-excavation trucks, high-performance waterblasting equipment, dump truck bodies and trailers. The Safety and Security Systems Group offers comprehensive systems and products such as campus and community alerting, emergency vehicles, first responder interoperable communications, and others. The company generates a majority of its revenue from the Environmental Solutions Group segment.
Executives
Mark Weber officer: President-Envir. Products Grp. 1415 W. 22ND STREET, SUITE 1100, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Felix Boeschen officer: VP Strategy/Investor Relations 1415 W. 22ND STREET, SUITE 1100, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Dennis J Martin director 505 WEST FRANKLIN AVENUE, NAPERVILLE IL 60540
Lauren B Elting officer: VP & Corporate Controller 1415 WEST 22ND STREET, SUITE 1100, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Ian A. Hudson officer: V.P. & Corporate Controller 1415 WEST 22ND STREET, SUITE 1100, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Diane Bonina officer: VP, Gen'l Counsel & Secretary 1415 W. 22ND STREET, SUITE 1100, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Shashank Patel director 1 INTERNATIONAL DRIVE, RYE BROOK NY 10573
Svetlana Vinokur officer: VP, Treasurer & Corp. Develop. 1415 WEST 22ND STREET, SUITE 1100, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Jennifer L Sherman officer: VP, General Counsel & Sec. 1415 W. 22ND STREET, SUITE 1100, OAK BROOK IL 60523
William F Owens director C/O KEY ENERGY SERVICES, INC., 1301 MCKINNEY STREET, SUITE 1800, HOUSTON TX 77010
John L Workman director C/O HEALTHSOUTH CORPORATION, ONE HEALTHSOUTH PARKWAY, BIRMINGHAM AL 35243
Richard R Mudge director 1415 WEST 22ND STREET, SUITE 1100, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Lowe Eugene Joseph Iii director 13320 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Patrick E. Miller director C/O COMMERICAL VEHICLE GROUP, INC., 7800 WALTON PARKWAY, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Samuel Miceli officer: Sr. VP - Env. Solutions. Group 1415 WEST 22ND STREET, SUITE 1100, OAK BROOK IL 60523