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McDonald's (UKEX:MCD) E10 : ₴345.05 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is McDonald's E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was ₴107.225. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is ₴345.05 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, McDonald's's average E10 Growth Rate was 9.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 10.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 8.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 7.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of McDonald's was 15.70% per year. The lowest was 3.80% per year. And the median was 9.40% per year.

As of today (2024-05-28), McDonald's's current stock price is ₴11093.00. McDonald's's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was ₴345.05. McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 32.15.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of McDonald's was 37.83. The lowest was 20.93. And the median was 30.52.


McDonald's E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for McDonald's's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

McDonald's E10 Chart

McDonald's Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 291.71 295.27

McDonald's Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 282.68 272.12 315.35 295.27 345.05

Competitive Comparison of McDonald's's E10

For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



McDonald's E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, McDonald's's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=107.225/131.7762*131.7762
=107.225

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

McDonald's Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201406 56.434 100.560 73.953
201409 43.938 100.428 57.653
201412 45.550 99.070 60.588
201503 33.860 99.621 44.789
201506 50.791 100.684 66.476
201509 56.434 100.392 74.077
201512 52.806 99.792 69.731
201603 50.387 100.470 66.087
201606 50.387 101.688 65.296
201609 60.465 101.861 78.223
201612 58.046 101.863 75.092
201703 59.256 102.862 75.913
201706 68.527 103.349 87.376
201709 93.519 104.136 118.342
201712 35.070 104.011 44.432
201803 69.333 105.290 86.774
201806 76.589 106.317 94.930
201809 84.651 106.507 104.735
201812 73.364 105.998 91.206
201903 69.333 107.251 85.188
201906 79.411 108.070 96.831
201909 85.054 108.329 103.463
201912 83.845 108.420 101.907
202003 59.256 108.902 71.703
202006 26.201 108.767 31.744
202009 94.728 109.815 113.672
202012 74.170 109.897 88.937
202103 82.635 111.754 97.440
202106 118.914 114.631 136.699
202109 115.287 115.734 131.267
202112 87.876 117.630 98.444
202203 59.659 121.301 64.811
202206 64.496 125.017 67.983
202209 108.031 125.227 113.681
202212 104.403 125.222 109.868
202303 98.759 127.348 102.193
202306 126.976 128.729 129.982
202309 127.783 129.860 129.669
202312 112.868 129.419 114.923
202403 107.225 131.776 107.225

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


McDonald's  (UKEX:MCD) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

McDonald's's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=11093.00/345.05
=32.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of McDonald's was 37.83. The lowest was 20.93. And the median was 30.52.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


McDonald's E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of McDonald's's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


McDonald's (UKEX:MCD) Business Description

Address
110 North Carpenter Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2022 system sales of $116 billion across more than 40,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.