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Mentor Graphics (Mentor Graphics) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $19.60 (As of Jan17)


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What is Mentor Graphics Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jan17, Mentor Graphics's earnings power value is $19.60. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Mentor Graphics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mentor Graphics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mentor Graphics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Mentor Graphics Annual Data
Trend Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.76 17.87 19.23 21.10 19.60

Mentor Graphics Quarterly Data
Apr12 Jul12 Oct12 Jan13 Apr13 Jul13 Oct13 Jan14 Apr14 Jul14 Oct14 Jan15 Apr15 Jul15 Oct15 Jan16 Apr16 Jul16 Oct16 Jan17
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.10 20.71 18.19 17.43 19.60

Competitive Comparison of Mentor Graphics's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Software - Application subindustry, Mentor Graphics's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mentor Graphics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Mentor Graphics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mentor Graphics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Mentor Graphics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Mentor Graphics's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,191
DDA 57
Operating Margin % 12.53
SGA * 25% 108
Tax Rate % 16.91
Maintenance Capex 31
Cash and Cash Equivalents 441
Short-Term Debt 275
Long-Term Debt 5
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 114

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 12.53%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,191 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 12.53%, Average Adjusted SGA = 108,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,191 * 12.53% +108 = $256.849677408 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 16.91%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $256.849677408 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 256.849677408 * ( 1 - 16.91% ) = $213.42153395186 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 57 * 0.5 * 16.91% = $4.85800656 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 213.42153395186 + 4.85800656 = $218.27954051186 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Mentor Graphics's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $31 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Mentor Graphics's current cash and cash equivalent = $441 Mil.
Mentor Graphics's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 5 + 275 = $279.826 Mil.
Mentor Graphics's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 114 Mil.

Mentor Graphics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jan17 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 218.27954051186 - 31)/ 9%+441-279.826 )/114
=19.60

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 19.601547530645-37.25 )/19.601547530645
= -90.04%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Mentor Graphics  (NAS:MENT) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Mentor Graphics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Mentor Graphics (Mentor Graphics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
Mentor Graphics is a provider of electronic design automation technology for software and hardware design solutions. It tailors its technologies for manufacturers in a variety of end markets, including communications, consumer electronics, military and aerospace, and transportation industries. Its products enable engineers to overcome complicated electronic design challenges by improving the accuracy of complex designs. The firm generates revenue primarily through licensing its software and hardware products to manufacturers. It derives roughly half of its revenue in North America, with the rest coming from Europe, Japan, and the Pacific Rim countries.
Executives
Cheryl L Shavers director 400 COLLINS ROAD NE, M/S 124-323, CEDAR RAPIDS IA 52498
Walden C Rhines director, officer: Chairman and CEO C/O TRIQUINT SEMICONDUCTOR INC, 2300 NE BROOKWOOD PKWY, HILLSBORO OR 97124
Jeffrey Stafeil director 1707 PADDINGTON CIRCLE, KESWICK VA 22947
J Daniel Mccranie director C/O ENOVIX CORPORATION, 3501 W. WARREN AVENUE, FREMONT CA 94538
Keith Barnes director 10100 N TANTAU AVE, CUPERTINO CA 95014-2540
Gregory K Hinckley officer: President C/OMENTOR GRAPHICS CORP, 8005 SW BOECKMAN ROAD, WILSONVILLE OR 97070-7777
Paul Anthony Mascarenas director 3850 HAMLIN ROAD, AUBURN HILLS MI 48326
Peter L Bonfield director C/OMENTOR GRAPHICS CORP, 8005 SW BOECKMAN ROAD, WILSONVILLE OR 97070-7777
Carl C Icahn other: NO LONGER SUBJECT TO SEC. 16 C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH-1, SUNNY ISLES BEACH FL 33160
David S. Schechter director C/O ICAHN CAPITAL LP, 767 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 4700, NEW YORK NY 10153
Jose Maria Alapont director 5725 DELPHI DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
Gary Meyers director
High River Limited Partnership 10 percent owner 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Icahn Partners Master Fund Ii L.p. 10 percent owner 445 HAMILTON AVENUE, SUITE 1210, WHITE PLAINS NY 10601
Icahn Partners Master Fund Iii L.p. 10 percent owner 445 HAMILTON AVENUE, SUITE 1210, WHITE PLAINS NY 10601

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