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Steel Connect (Steel Connect) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $15.49 (As of Jan24)


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What is Steel Connect Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jan24, Steel Connect's earnings power value is $15.49. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 18.8

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Steel Connect Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Steel Connect's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Steel Connect Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Steel Connect Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -70.30 -59.65 13.72 19.25 9.28

Steel Connect Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.41 23.48 9.28 15.56 15.49

Competitive Comparison of Steel Connect's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, Steel Connect's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Steel Connect's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Steel Connect's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Steel Connect's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Steel Connect Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Steel Connect's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 416.2
DDA 17.5
Operating Margin % 1.35
SGA * 25% 18.3
Tax Rate % 33.89
Maintenance Capex 3.9
Cash and Cash Equivalents 276.4
Short-Term Debt 21.9
Long-Term Debt 16.1
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 26.1

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 1.35%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $416.2 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 1.35%, Average Adjusted SGA = 18.3,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 416.2 * 1.35% +18.3 = $23.920794606 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 33.89%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $23.920794606 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 23.920794606 * ( 1 - 33.89% ) = $15.814635333892 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 17.5 * 0.5 * 33.89% = $2.9672911625 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 15.814635333892 + 2.9672911625 = $18.781926496392 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Steel Connect's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $3.9 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Steel Connect's current cash and cash equivalent = $276.4 Mil.
Steel Connect's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 16.1 + 21.9 = $38.065 Mil.
Steel Connect's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 26.1 Mil.

Steel Connect's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jan24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 18.781926496392 - 3.9)/ 9%+276.4-38.065 )/26.1
=15.49

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 15.49168104231-12.58 )/15.49168104231
= 18.8%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Steel Connect  (NAS:STCN) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Steel Connect Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Steel Connect (Steel Connect) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
590 Madison Avenue, New York, DE, USA, 10022
Steel Connect Inc is a diversified holding company. The company's operating segment include Direct Marketing and Supply Chain. It generates maximum revenue from the Direct Marketing segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from the United States and also has a presence in China; Netherlands, and others. The company serves clients in various industries including consumer electronics, communications, computing, software, storage, and retail industries.
Executives
Steel Partners Holdings L.p. other: See Explanation of Responses 590 MADISON AVENUE, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Joseph Richards Martin director C/O LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORPORATION, 414 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, NASHVILLE TN 37219
Ryan O'herrin officer: Chief Financial Officer 590 MADISON AVENUE, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022-8547
Webfinancial Holding Corp director, 10 percent owner 590 MADISON AVENUE, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Wf Asset Corp. 10 percent owner 590 MADISON AVENUE, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Gary Tankard officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O STEEL PARTNERS HOLDINGS LP, 590 MADISON AVENUE, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Jason Wong officer: Chief Financial Officer 590 MADISON AVENUE, FLOOR 32, C/O STEEL PARTNERS HOLDINGS LP, NEW YORK NY 10022
Renata Simril director 5055 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 500, LOS ANGELES CA 90036
Fawaz Khalil officer: CEO, ModusLink Corporation C/O STEEL CONNECT, INC., 1601 TRAPELO ROAD, SUITE 170, WALTHAM MA 02451
John Ashe officer: CEO,IWCO Direct Holdings, Inc. C/O STEEL CONNECT, INC., 1601 TRAPELO ROAD, SUITE 170, WALTHAM MA 02451
Maria Molland director 1601 TRAPELO ROAD, SUITE 170, WALTHAM MA 02451
Joseph B Sherk officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O UNITED RENTALS INC, FIVE GREENWICH OFFICE PARK, GREENWICH CT 06830
Douglas Woodworth officer: Chief Financial Officer STEEL PARTNERS HOLDINGS L.P., 590 MADISON AVENUE, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Steel Excel Inc. 10 percent owner 590 MADISON AVENUE, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Philip E. Lengyel director C/O MODUSLINK GLOBAL SOLUTIONS, INC., 1601 TRAPELO ROAD, SUITE 170, WALTHAM MA 02451

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