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Cascade Microtech (Cascade Microtech) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Cascade Microtech Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), Cascade Microtech's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Cascade Microtech's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Cascade Microtech is

The historical rank and industry rank for Cascade Microtech's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CSCD's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Semiconductors industry.
Industry Median: 1.3
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Cascade Microtech Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cascade Microtech's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cascade Microtech Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Cascade Microtech Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Cascade Microtech Quarterly Data
Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Cascade Microtech's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials subindustry, Cascade Microtech's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cascade Microtech's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Cascade Microtech's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cascade Microtech's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Cascade Microtech Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Cascade Microtech's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 21.86) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cascade Microtech  (NAS:CSCD) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Cascade Microtech Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cascade Microtech's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cascade Microtech (Cascade Microtech) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Cascade Microtech Inc was incorporated in the state of Oregon in 1984. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets wafer probing solutions for the electrical measurement and testing of high performance semiconductor devices. Its product enables precision on-wafer measurement of integrated circuits. It is also used in production applications to test semiconductor devices prior to completion of the manufacturing process. It operates in two business segments: Systems and Probes. Sales of its probe stations are included in the Systems segment and sales of its analytical probes and production probe cards are included in the Probes segment. It operates in Oregon, Minnesota and Dresden, Germany, with sales, service and support centers in North America, Germany, Japan, Taiwan, China and Singapore. It designs, manufactures and sells multiple product lines, including probe stations, thermal subsystems, reliability test systems, analytical probes, production probe cards and various services and accessories. Its products are used by semiconductor manufacturers, test subcontractors, research organizations and designers. The Company sells its probe stations, thermal subsystems, reliability test systems, analytical probes, and production probe cards through a combination of manufacturers' representatives, distributors and direct sales people. The competitors of the company include Vector Semiconductor Co. Ltd., Signatone Corporation, MPI Corporation, Tokyo Seimitsu Co., LTD/Accretech, Tokyo Electron ("TEL"), The Micromanipulator Company Inc. and Wentworth Laboratories Inc., among others. In the market for thermal subsystems, it competes against ERS Electronic, GmbH, Temptronic Environmental Test Chambers and Espec Corp. Its reliability test products compete against a number of competitors including Qualitau, Inc., STAr Technologies, Inc., Reedholm Instruments Co. and Chiron technology Pte. Ltd. It is subject to federal, state and local laws and regulations.
Executives
William Spivey director
John D Delafield director, 10 percent owner 1301 SECOND AVENUE, SUITE 2850, SEATTLE WA 98101
Raymond A Link director C/O FORMFACTOR, INC., 7005 SOUTHFRONT ROAD, LIVERMORE CA 94551
Michael D Burger officer: President and CEO 250 TECHNOLOGY PARK, LAKE MARY FL 32746
Jeffrey A Killian officer: CFO, VP Finance C/O RESONANT INC. 175 CREMONA DRIVE, SUITE 200 GOLETA CA 93117
Keith Barnes director 10100 N TANTAU AVE, CUPERTINO CA 95014-2540
Rgm Capital, Llc other: Shareholder 9010 STRADA STELL COURT, SUITE 105, NAPLES FL 34109
Robert G Moses other: Shareholder RGM CAPITAL, LLC, 9010 STRADA STELL COURT, SUITE 105, NAPLES FL 34109
Laurence W Lytton 10 percent owner 467 CENTRAL PARK WEST, NY NY 10025
Geoffrey Wild director, officer: President and CEO 108 CHERRY HILL DRIVE, BEVERLY MA 01915

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