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JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome (LSE:JUGI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : £2.70 (As of Jun. 01, 2024)


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What is JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-06-01), JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is £2.70.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome is -25.56%.

The historical rank and industry rank for JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:JUGI's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Asset Management industry.
Industry Median: 0.99
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome Semi-Annual Data
Jul14 Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Asset Management subindustry, JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.22%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 16.20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 16.20%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 16.20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = £0.1116.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.162)/(1+0.11) = 1.0468468468468
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.1116*24.2162
=2.70

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (2.7 - 3.39) / 2.7
= -25.56 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome  (LSE:JUGI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome (LSE:JUGI) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
60 Victoria Embankment, London, GBR, EC4Y 0JP
JPMorgan UK Smaller Companies Investment Trust PLC is an investment trust company. Its investment objective is to achieve capital growth from UK listed smaller companies by out-performance of the company's benchmark index, the FTSE Small Cap Index and a rising share price over the longer term by taking carefully controlled risks. In order to achieve its objective, the company invests in a diversified portfolio of small companies, emphasizing capital rather than income growth. The company manages its risk relative to its benchmark index by limiting the active portfolio exposure to stocks and sectors. It mainly invests in smaller companies which tend to be more volatile than larger companies.

JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth &ome (LSE:JUGI) Headlines

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