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API Technologies (API Technologies) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $-5.42 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is API Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-04-30), API Technologies's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-5.42.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

API Technologies's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for API Technologies is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for API Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

ATNY's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Semiconductors industry.
Industry Median: 1.18
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

API Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for API Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

API Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

API Technologies Annual Data
Trend Jan06 May07 May08 May09 May10 May11 Nov12 Nov13 Nov14 Nov15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
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API Technologies Quarterly Data
May11 Aug11 Nov11 Feb12 May12 Aug12 Nov12 Feb13 May13 Aug13 Nov13 Feb14 May14 Aug14 Nov14 Feb15 May15 Aug15 Nov15 Feb16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of API Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Semiconductors subindustry, API Technologies's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


API Technologies's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, API Technologies's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where API Technologies's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



API Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.63%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> API Technologies's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-0.470.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

API Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.470*11.5406
=-5.42

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-5.42-2.00)/-5.42
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


API Technologies  (NAS:ATNY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


API Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of API Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


API Technologies (API Technologies) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
API Technologies Corp was incorporated on February 2, 1999 under the laws of the State of Delaware under the name Rubicon Ventures Inc. On November 6, 2006, API changed its name to "API Nanotronics Corp," and subsequently changed its name to API Technologies Corp. on October 22, 2009. The Company through its three business segments-Systems, Subsystems & Components, Electronic Manufacturing Services and Secure Systems & Information Assurance. It designs, develops and manufactures systems, subsystems, RF and secure solutions, as well as provides electronics manufacturing and high-quality engineering services for technically demanding, high-reliability applications. Solutions areas include systems, subsystems and components which includes RF/microwave and microelectronics products, electromagnetics, power and systems solutions products, and sensors, Secure Systems and Information Assurance includes TEMPEST and emanation security, rugged communications products, encryption, and secure networking products and Electronics Manufacturing Services, which involves the production of circuit card assemblies, electromechanical assemblies, and box builds used in defense, industrial and commercial applications. The Company also operates several manufacturing facilities throughout North America, the United Kingdom, Mexico and China. Its customer base spans defense, aerospace, industrial, communications, medical, and government agencies, including the governments of the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, & other countries. The Company is subject to federal contracting laws and regulations, including the U.S. Federal Acquisition Regulation (FAR) and the False Claims Act.
Executives
Robert Tavares director, officer: President and CEO 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, STAMFORD CT 06902
Eric F. Seeton officer: Chief Financial Officer 103 HILL STREET, SHREWSBURY MA 01545
Melvin L Keating director 18 DRIFTWOOD DRIVE, LIVINGSTON NJ 07039
Steel Excel Inc. 10 percent owner 590 MADISON AVENUE, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Steel Partners Holdings L.p. 10 percent owner 590 MADISON AVENUE, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Sph Group Holdings Llc 10 percent owner C/O STEEL PARTNERS HOLDINGS L.P., 590 MADISON AVENUE, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Sph Group Llc 10 percent owner C/O STEEL PARTNERS HOLDINGS L.P., 590 MADISON AVENUE, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Steel Partners Holdings Gp Inc. 10 percent owner 590 MADISON AVENUE, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Kenneth J Krieg director 7111 XAVIER COURT, MCLEAN VA 22101
Matthew E Avril director C/O STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE, 1111 WESTCHESTER AVE, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Claudio A Mannarino officer: Sr VP & CFO 229 COLONNADE ROAD, NEPEAN A6 K2E 7K3
Senator Investment Group Lp 10 percent owner 510 MADISON AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Douglas Silverman 10 percent owner C/O SENATOR INVESTMENT GROUP LP 510 MADISON AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10022
Bel Lazar officer: President & CEO 4705 S. APOPKA VINELAND ROAD, SUITE 201, ORLANDO FL 32819
Jason Dezwirek other: Former Dir, Sec & 10% owner 2300 YONGE STREET, SUITE 1710, TORONTO A6 M4P 1E4

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