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Urstadt Biddle Properties (Urstadt Biddle Properties) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $6.81 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Urstadt Biddle Properties Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), Urstadt Biddle Properties's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $6.81.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Urstadt Biddle Properties's Predictability Rank is 1.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Urstadt Biddle Properties is -210.43%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Urstadt Biddle Properties's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Urstadt Biddle Properties was 2.74. The lowest was 2.16. And the median was 2.22.

UBA's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the REITs industry.
Industry Median: 1.38
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Urstadt Biddle Properties Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Urstadt Biddle Properties's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Urstadt Biddle Properties Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Urstadt Biddle Properties Annual Data
Trend Oct13 Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
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Urstadt Biddle Properties Quarterly Data
Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Urstadt Biddle Properties's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Urstadt Biddle Properties's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Urstadt Biddle Properties's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Urstadt Biddle Properties's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Urstadt Biddle Properties's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Urstadt Biddle Properties Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Urstadt Biddle Properties's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 3.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $0.590.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Urstadt Biddle Properties's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.590*11.5406
=6.81

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(6.81-21.14)/6.81
=-210.43 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Urstadt Biddle Properties  (NYSE:UBA) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Urstadt Biddle Properties Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

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Urstadt Biddle Properties (Urstadt Biddle Properties) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
321 Railroad Avenue, Greenwich, CT, USA, 06830
Urstadt Biddle Properties Inc is a real estate investment trust. It is engaged in acquisition, ownership, and management of the commercial real estate. The company's business is the ownership of real estate investments, which consist principally of investments in income-producing properties, with primary emphasis on neighborhood and community shopping centers in the metropolitan New York tri-state area outside of the City of New York. The company's operating segment is one of its property, Ridgeway, located in Stamford, Connecticut, US.
Executives
Bryan O. Colley director 83 NORTH SALEM ROAD, CROSS RIVER NY 10518
Kevin J Bannon director 62 CROTON AVENUE, MOUNT KISCO NY 10549
Elinor F Urstadt 10 percent owner 6 BEECHWOOD ROAD, BRONXVILLE NY 10708
Estate Of Urstadt, Charles J. 10 percent owner 6 BEECHWOOD ROAD, BRONXVILLE NY 10708
Stephan A Rapaglia officer: SVP and COO 8 OLD MUSKET LANE, RIDGEFIELD CT 06877
John T Hayes officer: Senior VP and CFO 321 RAILROAD AVENUE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Stephens Willis H. Jr. director 15 MT. EBO ROAD SOUTH, P.O. BOX 408, BREWSTER NY 10509
Charles J Urstadt director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman of Board & CEO 321 RAILROAD AVE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Miyun Sung officer: SVP and CLO 4-75 48TH AVENUE #705, LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11109
Carpenter Noble O Jr director 18 HAWTHORNE ROAD, BRONXVILLE NY 10708
Thomas D Myers officer: Co-Counsel 321 RAILROAD AVENUE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Catherine U Biddle director 53 ELMWOOD ROAD, SOUTH SALEM NY 10590
Richard Grellier director 4 EGGLESTON LANE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Robert J Mueller director 321 RAILROAD AVENUE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Raymond P Argila officer: Senior Vice President 321 RAILROAD AVENUE, GREENWICH CT 06830

Urstadt Biddle Properties (Urstadt Biddle Properties) Headlines

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