GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers » Kindred Biosciences Inc (NAS:KIN) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Kindred Biosciences (Kindred Biosciences) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of May. 06, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2013. Start your Free Trial

What is Kindred Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-06), Kindred Biosciences's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Kindred Biosciences's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Kindred Biosciences is N/A%.

The industry rank for Kindred Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

KIN's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Drug Manufacturers industry.
Industry Median: 1.57
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Kindred Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kindred Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kindred Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Kindred Biosciences Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - - - -

Kindred Biosciences Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Kindred Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Kindred Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kindred Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Kindred Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kindred Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Kindred Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 11.10%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Kindred Biosciences's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 11.10%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 11.10%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Kindred Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.111)/(1+0.11) = 1.0009009009009
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.000*17.2258
=0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0-9.25)/0
=N/A %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kindred Biosciences  (NAS:KIN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Kindred Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Kindred Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Kindred Biosciences (Kindred Biosciences) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1555 Bayshore Highway, Suite 200, Burlingame, CA, USA, 94010
Kindred Biosciences Inc is a biopharmaceutical company developing innovative biologics focused on saving and improving the lives of pets. The company identifies targets that have already demonstrated safety and efficacy in humans and develop therapeutics based on these validated targets for dogs and cats. It has a pipeline of novel biologics in development across many therapeutic classes, alongside biologics manufacturing capabilities and a broad intellectual property portfolio.
Executives
Richard Chin director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O OXIGENE, INC., 230 THIRD AVENUE, WALTHAM MA 02451
Park West Asset Management Llc 10 percent owner 1 LETTERMAN DRIVE, SUITE C5-900, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94129
Denise Bevers director C/O KINDRED BIOSCIENCES, INC. 1555 BAYSHORE HIGHWAY, SUITE 200 BURLINGAME CA 94010
Wendy Wee officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O TELIK, INC. 700 HANSEN WAY PALO ALTO CA 94304
Hangjun Zhan officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O KINDRED BIOSCIENCES, INC. 1555 BAYSHORE HIGHWAY, SUITE 200 BURLINGAME CA 94010
Ernest Mario director 20 FAIRMOUNT AVENUE, P.O. BOX 445, CHATHAM NJ 07928
Joseph S Mccracken director C/O NEXVET BIOPHARMA PLC, NATL INST, FOSTERS AVENUE, MOUNT MERRION, BLACKROCK L2 00000
Herbert D Montgomery director C/O ATKINSON 1001 BAYHILL DRIVE 2ND FL SAN BRUNO CA 94066
Raymond Townsend director C/O KINDRED BIOSCIENCES, INC. 1555 BAYSHORE HIGHWAY, SUITE 200 BURLINGAME CA 94010
Ervin Veszpremi director C/O KINDRED BIOSCIENCES, INC. 1555 BAYSHORE HIGHWAY, SUITE 200 BURLINGAME CA 94010
Stephen Sundlof officer: SVP of Regulatory Affairs C/O KINDRED BIOSCIENCES, INC. 1555 BAYSHORE HIGHWAY, SUITE 200 BURLINGAME CA 94010
Oleg Nodelman director 357 TEHAMA STREET #3, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Selby Blake Hawley officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O KINDRED BIOSCIENCES, INC. 1499 BAYSHORE HIGHWAY, SUITE 226 BURLINGAME CA 94010
Stephen S Galliker officer: Chief Financial Officer 300 TECHNOLOGY SQUARE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Kevin Schultz officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O KINDRED BIOSCIENCES, INC. 1499 BAYSHORE HIGHWAY, SUITE 226 BURLINGAME CA 94010

Kindred Biosciences (Kindred Biosciences) Headlines

From GuruFocus