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LoJack (LoJack) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is LoJack Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), LoJack's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

LoJack's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for LoJack is N/A%.

The industry rank for LoJack's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

LOJN's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Business Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.705
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

LoJack Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for LoJack's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

LoJack Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

LoJack Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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LoJack Quarterly Data
Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of LoJack's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, LoJack's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


LoJack's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, LoJack's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where LoJack's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



LoJack Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> LoJack's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

LoJack's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.000*11.5406
=0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0-6.44)/0
=N/A %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


LoJack  (NAS:LOJN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


LoJack Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of LoJack's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


LoJack (LoJack) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
LoJack Corp was organized as a Massachusetts corporation in 1978. The Company is a provider of technology products and services for the tracking and recovery of valuable mobile assets and people at risk of wandering, or people at risk. It also offers fleet telematics solutions designed for monitoring and managing fleets ranging from 5 to 5,000 vehicles. These solutions can be customized to meet the safety, security and protection needs of a wide-range of companies in the world of the connected car. The Company has three business segments: North America, International and All Other. Its North America segment is comprised of its domestic operations, which sell products that operate in 28 states and the District of Columbia in the United States, and its Canadian operations provide recovery products and services in the Provinces of Ontario and Quebec. The International segment sells products and licenses or owns and operates LoJack proprietary vehicle recovery technology in 30 countries and territories throughout Europe, Africa and Latin America and through its wholly owned subsidiary in Italy, LoJack Italia, SRL, or LoJack Italia. The All Other segment includes LoJack SafetyNet Inc., which provides technology for the tracking and rescue of people at risk of wandering, or people at risk, and LoJack SC-Integrity, Inc., which provides technology for the tracking and recovery of valuable cargo and business information. The Company's LoJack Stolen Vehicle Recovery System is based on very high frequency technology. In the United States, the LoJack System is comprised of three components: a Registration System, which it maintains and operates; Sector Activation System and Vehicle Tracking Units referred to as the Law Enforcement Components, each of which is maintained by the Company and operated by law enforcement officials; and a LoJack Unit, which is installed in customers' vehicles or equipment. The Company's LoJack Unit consists of a VHF transponder with a hidden antenna; microprocessor and power supply and contains a set of secret codes unique to the LoJack Unit. The LoJack Early Warning is sold as an optional component of the LoJack System, provides early notification to a vehicle or motorcycle owner in the event of operation by an unauthorized user; and consists of a uniquely coded key pass and a motion sensor that works with the LoJack Unit to monitor vehicle movement and detect the presence of the registered owner's key pass. LoJack for Construction Equipment is designed for installation on heavy equipment. LoJack for Motorcycles is designed specifically for installation in on road motorcycles. It also offers warranty products such as LoJack Extended Limited Recovery Warranty, LoJack Guarantee Plus 5000 and LoJack Protection Plus 5000. The LoJack Fleet Management system is comprised of a GPS-based location device; a Software as a Service based application used for tracking, monitoring and reporting from desktop browser to smartpho
Executives
Kenneth L Dumas officer: SVP, CFO & Treasurer 26 SUMMER STREET, BRIDGEWATER MA 02324
Alan Lee Bazaar director 9 BEDFORD ROAD, KATONAH NY 10536
Phil Horlock director C/O LOJACK CORPORATION, 40 PEQUOT WAY, CANTON MA 02021
Rory J Cowan director C/O LIONBRIDGE TECHNOLOGIES INC, 950 WINTER STREET SUITE 2410, WALTHAM MA 02451
Randy L. Ortiz director, officer: President and CEO C/O TELENAV, INC. 4655 GREAT AMERICA PARKWAY, SUITE 300 SANTA CLARA CA 95054
John A. Janitz director 6644 CORNERSTONE LANE, ROCHESTER HILLS MI 48306
Robert J Murray director C/O NEW ENGLAND BUSINESS SERVICE INC, 500 MAIN STREET, GROTON MA 01471
Robert L Rewey director 401 LONE PINE COURT, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48304
Richard T Riley director C/O NEW ENGLAND BUSINESS SERVICE INC, 500 MAIN ST, GROTON MA 01471
Maria Renna Sharpe director 11 EDWARDS COURT, MT. KISCO NY 10549
Ronald V Waters director, officer: CEO and President 75 EAST ELM STREET, CHICAGO IL 60611
Keith E Farris officer: VP (Finance) & CFO 200 LOWDER BBROOK DR STE 1000, WESTWOOD MA 02090
Larry C Renfro director 200 BRICKSTONE SQUARE, 5TH FLOOR, ANDOVER MA 01810

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