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StoneX Group (StoneX Group) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $613.39 (As of May. 10, 2024)


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What is StoneX Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-10), StoneX Group's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $613.39.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

StoneX Group's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for StoneX Group is 87.45%.

The industry rank for StoneX Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SNEX's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Capital Markets industry.
Industry Median: 0.915
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

StoneX Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for StoneX Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

StoneX Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

StoneX Group Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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StoneX Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of StoneX Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Capital Markets subindustry, StoneX Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


StoneX Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, StoneX Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where StoneX Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



StoneX Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> StoneX Group's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $53.151.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

StoneX Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=53.151*11.5406
=613.39

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(613.39-76.97)/613.39
=87.45 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


StoneX Group  (NAS:SNEX) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


StoneX Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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StoneX Group (StoneX Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
230 Park Avenue, 10th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10169
StoneX Group Inc is a Global brokerage and financial services firm. Its service offerings are execution, OTC / Market-Making, advisory services, Global payment solutions, market intelligence, Physical Trading and clearing services. The firm operates in four segments: commercial, Institutional, Retail, and Global Payments. Its customers include governmental and nongovernmental organizations, and commercial banks, brokers, institutional investors, and investment banks. The company operates in United States, South America, Europe, Middle East and Asia and other countries, out of which majority revenue is generates from Middle East and Asia Region.
Executives
Scott J Branch director, officer: COO 220 E CENTRAL PARKWAY, STE 2060, ATTAMONTE SPRINGS FL 32701
Eric Parthemore director 1251 NW BRIARCLIFF PARKWAY, SUITE 800, KANSAS CITY MO 64116
Philip Andrew Smith other: CEO - subsidiary entity 708 THIRD AVENUE, SUITE 1500, NEW YORK NY 10017
Mark Lowry Maurer other: CEO - subsidiary entity 230 SOUTH LASALLE, SUITE 10-500, CHICAGO IL 60604
John Moore Fowler director 2 NORTHWEST WAY, BRONXVILLE NY 10708
Charles M Lyon officer: CEO - subsidiary entity 329 PARK AVENUE NORTH, SUITE 350, WINTER PARK FL 32789
John Radziwill director, officer: Chairman of the Board
Glenn Henry Stevens other: CEO - subsidiary entity 550 HILLS DRIVE, SUITE 210, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921
Aaron Schroeder officer: Group Controller 1251 NW BRIARCLIFF PARKWAY, SUITE 800, KANSAS CITY MO 64116
William J Dunaway officer: Chief Financial Officer 1251 NW BRIARCLIFF PARKWAY, SUITE 800, KANSAS CITY MO 64116
Sean Michael Oconnor director, officer: CEO 220 E. CENTRAL PARKWAY, SUITE 2060, ALTEMONTE SPRINGS FL 32701
Xuong Nguyen other: COO of Affiliates 230 SOUTH LASALLE, SUITE 10-500, CHICAGO IL 60604
Abigail H Perkins officer: Chief Information Officer 230 PARK AVENUE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10169
Diego Rotsztain officer: Chief Governance/Legal Officer 135 US HIGHWAY 202/206, SUITE 11, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921
Dhamu R. Thamodaran director 200 COMMERCE STREET, SMITHFIELD VA 23430

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