Sonoma Pharmaceuticals (Sonoma Pharmaceuticals) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-31.38 (As of May. 02, 2024)

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What is Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-02), Sonoma Pharmaceuticals's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-31.38.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Sonoma Pharmaceuticals's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Sonoma Pharmaceuticals is N/A.

The industry rank for Sonoma Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SNOA's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Drug Manufacturers industry.
Industry Median: 1.52
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sonoma Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Annual Data

Trend

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Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

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Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Sonoma Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Sonoma Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Sonoma Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sonoma Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.

Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.58%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Sonoma Pharmaceuticals's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 43.00%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-1.004.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Sonoma Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

-1.004

31.2501

-31.38

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(-31.38	-	0.152)	/	-31.38
	=	N/A

Sonoma Pharmaceuticals (NAS:SNOA) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Sonoma Pharmaceuticals (Sonoma Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers » Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Inc (NAS:SNOA) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

O8Z3:Germany

Address

5445 Conestoga Court, Suite 150, Boulder, CO, USA, 80301

Website

https://www.sonomapharma.com

Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Inc is a specialty pharmaceutical company operating in the United States. It is engaged in identifying, developing, and commercializing differentiated therapies for patients living with chronic skin conditions. The company focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutic solutions in medical dermatology to treat skin conditions, such as acne, atopic dermatitis, and scarring. The key products of the company are Celacyn, Ceramax Skin Barrier Cream, Mondoxyne, Alevicyn, SebuDerm, Microcyn, and Microcyn which are available for various skin treatments such as scars, itchy skin, minor skin irritations, rashes, and others. The company derives revenue from the sale of products in the United States, Latin America, Europe, and other countries.

Executives

Chad Norman White	officer: Interim CFO	645 MOLLY LANE, SUITE 150, WOODSTOCK GA 30189
Jerome J Dvonch	officer: Chief Financial Officer	12701 COMMONWEALTH DRIVE, SUITE 9, FORT MYERS FL 33913
Robert Grant Edwards	officer: Chief Financial Officer	1129 N. MCDOWELL BLVD., PETALUMA CA 94954
Poggetto John Dal	officer: Chief Financial Officer	1129 N. MCDOWELL BLVD, PETALUMA CA 94954
Amy Moss Trombly	officer: Interim CEO	1314 MAIN STREET, SUITE 102, LOUSIVILLE CO 80027
Frederick J Sandford	director, officer: CEO and Interim CFO	C/O SONOMA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1129 N. MCDOWELL BLVD., PETALUMA CA 94954
Philippe Weigerstorfer	director	1129 N. MCDOWELL BLVD., PETALUMA CA 94954
Robert E Miller	officer: Chief Financial Officer	1129 N. MCDOWELL BLVD., PETALUMA CA 94954
James J Schutz	director, officer: Chief Operating Officer	1129 N. MCDOWELL BLVD., PETALUMA CA 94954
Marc Umscheid	officer: Chief Strategy/Mkt Officer	OCULUS INNOVATIVE SCIENCES, INC., 1129 N. MCDOWELL BLVD., PETALUMA CA 94954
Robert Allen Northey	officer: Exec. VP of Res & Devlpment	C/O OCULUS INNOVATIVE SCIENCES, INC., 1129 N. MCDOWELL BLVD., PETALUMA CA 94954
Sharon Surrey Barbari	director	280 EAST GRAND AVENUE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Russell Joseph Harrison	director	OCULUS INNOVATIVE SCIENCES, INC., 1129 NORTH MCDOWELL BLVD., PETALUMA CA 94954
John Mclaughlin	director	OCULUS INNOVATIVE SCIENCES, INC., 1129 N. MCDOWELL BLVD., PETALUMA CA 94954
Sameer Harish	other: Officer of Subsidiary (1)	RUTHIGEN, INC., 1129 N. MCDOWELL BLVD, PETALUMA CA 94954