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Staples (Staples) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $17.33 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Staples Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), Staples's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $17.33.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Staples's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Staples is 40.85%.

The industry rank for Staples's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SPLS's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 0.735
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Staples Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Staples's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Staples Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Staples Annual Data
Trend Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.59 - - - -

Staples Quarterly Data
Oct12 Jan13 Apr13 Jul13 Oct13 Jan14 Apr14 Jul14 Oct14 Jan15 Apr15 Jul15 Oct15 Jan16 Apr16 Jul16 Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Staples's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Staples's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Staples's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Staples's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Staples's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Staples Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Staples's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $1.502.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Staples's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=1.502*11.5406
=17.33

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(17.33-10.25)/17.33
=40.85 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Staples  (NAS:SPLS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Staples Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Staples's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Staples (Staples) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Staples is an American retailer with online and delivery capabilities. Staples offers products in categories: technology, facilities and breakroom, furniture, safety, medical, copy and print, and Staples EasyTech services. Staples operates throughout North and South America, Europe, Asia, Australia, and New Zealand. The company divides its business into three segments: North American stores and online, North American commercial, and international operations. The product offering includes Staples, Quill, and other proprietary branded products. Staples' product price points are generally low.
Executives
Shira Goodman director, officer: CEO C/O CARMAX, 12800 TUCKAHOE CREEK PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23238
John F Lundgren director 1000 STANLEY DRIVE, NEW BRITAIN CT 06053
Deborah A Henretta director ONE RIVERFRONT PLAZA, CORNING NY 14831
Robert E Sulentic director C/O CBRE, 2100 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 1250, DALLAS TX 75201
Kunal Kamlani director 3333 BEVERLY ROAD, HOFFMAN ESTATES IL 60179
Christine T Komola officer: Chief Financial Officer 500 STAPLES DRIVE, FRAMINGHAM MA 01702
Drew G Faust director C/O GOLDMAN SACHS & CO. LLC, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Curtis F Feeny director C/O CBRE, 2100 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 1250, DALLAS TX 75201
Joseph Doody officer: Vice Chairman CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC, 25 GREENS HILL LANE PO BOX 866, RUTLAND VT 05701
Carol Meyrowitz director TJX COMPANIES INC, 770 COCHITUATE RD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Ronald Sargent director, officer: Chairman and CEO 1014 VINE STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Demos Parneros officer: President, NA Stores & Online 483 BAY ST, 7TH FL NORTH TOWER, TORONTOON A1 999999999
Rowland Moriarty director 200 CLARENDON ST T33, BOSTON MA 02116
Raul Vazquez director 500 STAPLES DR., FRAMINGHAM MA 01702
Basil Anderson director

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