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The Arena Group Holdings (The Arena Group Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-19.86 (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is The Arena Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-28), The Arena Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-19.86. The stock price of The Arena Group Holdings is $0.84. Therefore, The Arena Group Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Arena Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of The Arena Group Holdings was 21.13. The lowest was 3.95. And the median was 6.29.

AREN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Interactive Media industry.
Industry Median: 1.18
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

The Arena Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Arena Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Arena Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

The Arena Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -53.59 -58.02 -21.54 -15.86 -19.83

The Arena Group Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -22.50 -21.65 -20.63 -19.83 -19.86

Competitive Comparison of The Arena Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, The Arena Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Arena Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, The Arena Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Arena Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



The Arena Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get The Arena Group Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-27.95.

The Arena Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.100819886097*-27.9464+-149.552/0.8)/26.444
=-19.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Arena Group Holdings  (AMEX:AREN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

The Arena Group Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.84/-19.857599185631
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Arena Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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The Arena Group Holdings (The Arena Group Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
200 Vesey Street, 24th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10281
The Arena Group Holdings Inc is a tech-powered media company that fuses superior technology, iconic brands, and marketing savvy to deliver vibrant content and experiences that reach more than 120 million users each month. The company creates robust digital destinations that delight consumers with powerful journalism, news about the things such as favorite sports teams, advice on investing, the inside scoop on personal finance, and the latest on lifestyle essentials. The Company operates in one reportable segment which focuses on a publishing platform.
Executives
Todd D. Sims director C/O B. RILEY FINANCIAL, INC., 21255 BURBANK BLVD., SUITE 400, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
B. Riley Financial, Inc. other: See Remarks. 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Paul Taylor Edmondson officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O THEMAVEN, 1500 FOURTH AVENUE, SEATTLE WA 98101
Herbert Hunt Allred director 200 VESEY ST., 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281
Daniel Shribman director 299 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10171
Ross Levinsohn director 701 FIRST AVENUE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
B. Riley Securities, Inc. 10 percent owner 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Christopher Petzel director 200 VESEY ST., 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281
Laura Anne Lee director 267 1ST STREET, APT 1, BROOKLYN NY 11215
Spiridon Christoforatos officer: Chief Accounting Officer 200 VESEY ST., 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281
Brf Investments, Llc 10 percent owner 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD., SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Carlo Zola director 225 LIBERTY STREET, 27TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281
Eric Semler director 4625 FIELDSTON ROAD, BRONX NY 10471
Brc Partners Opportunity Fund, Lp other: See Remarks. 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD. SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Henry Robertson Barrett officer: President, Media 225 LIBERTY STREET, 27TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281