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Whitehaven Coal (ASX:WHC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : A$23.15 (As of May. 17, 2024)


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What is Whitehaven Coal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-17), Whitehaven Coal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$23.15. The stock price of Whitehaven Coal is A$7.41. Therefore, Whitehaven Coal's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Whitehaven Coal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:WHC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.24   Med: 1.16   Max: 7.76
Current: 0.32

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Whitehaven Coal was 7.76. The lowest was 0.24. And the median was 1.16.

ASX:WHC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
81.58% of 114 companies
in the Other Energy Sources industry
Industry Median: 0.645 vs ASX:WHC: 0.32

Whitehaven Coal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Whitehaven Coal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Whitehaven Coal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Whitehaven Coal Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.55 5.89 5.29 11.58 23.15

Whitehaven Coal Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 11.58 - 23.15 -

Competitive Comparison of Whitehaven Coal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Thermal Coal subindustry, Whitehaven Coal's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Whitehaven Coal's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Other Energy Sources Industry

For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, Whitehaven Coal's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Whitehaven Coal's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Whitehaven Coal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Whitehaven Coal's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = A$1,089.46.

Whitehaven Coal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*1089.4622857143+5260.525*0.8)/881.127
=23.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Whitehaven Coal  (ASX:WHC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Whitehaven Coal's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=7.41/23.15298503781
=0.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Whitehaven Coal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Whitehaven Coal (ASX:WHC) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
259 George Street, Level 28, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
Whitehaven Coal is a large Australian independent thermal and semisoft metallurgical coal miner with mines in the Gunnedah Basin, New South Wales. It also owns the large Vickery and Winchester South deposits in New South Wales and Queensland, respectively. Coal is railed to ports in Newcastle for export to Asian customers. It has agreed to buy Blackwater and Daunia, two coking coal mines in Queensland, from BHP and Mitsubishi, effective mid-2024. Along with expanded production at Maules Creek and Narrabri, this should see its share of salable coal production approach 36 million metric tons from fiscal 2028, from about 13 million in fiscal 2023. Development of Vickery could see around 7 million metric tons of extra equity production, with first output likely from about 2025 in our view.

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