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Avalo Therapeutics (Avalo Therapeutics) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-498.96 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Avalo Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-21), Avalo Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-498.96. The stock price of Avalo Therapeutics is $11.10. Therefore, Avalo Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Avalo Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AVTX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 2.34
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Avalo Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Avalo Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Avalo Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Avalo Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4,041.11 -3,920.06 -4,242.25 -6,308.08 -362.67

Avalo Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5,103.83 -4,557.79 -1,290.35 -362.67 -498.96

Competitive Comparison of Avalo Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Avalo Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Avalo Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Avalo Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Avalo Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Avalo Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Avalo Therapeutics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-31.75.

Avalo Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-31.74768+-101.085/0.8)/0.859
=-498.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Avalo Therapeutics  (NAS:AVTX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Avalo Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=11.10/-498.95847026331
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Avalo Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Avalo Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Avalo Therapeutics (Avalo Therapeutics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
540 Gaither Road, Suite 400, Rockville, MD, USA, 20850
Avalo Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage precision medicine company that discovers, develops, and commercializes targeted therapeutics for patients with significant unmet clinical needs in immunology, immuno-oncology, and rare genetic diseases. Its pipeline consists of product candidates advancing in development with ongoing clinical programs: AVTX-002, AVTX-007, and AVTX-006.
Executives
Armistice Capital Master Fund Ltd. director, 10 percent owner C/O ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC, 510 MADISON AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Caissa Capital Management Ltd. 10 percent owner PALM GROVE HOUSE, WICKHAMS CAY 1 ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 VG1110
Christopher Ryan Sullivan officer: Interim CFO C/O CERECOR INC., 400 E. PRATT STREET, SUITE 606, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Garry Arthur Neil officer: Chief Medical Officer 555 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 365, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Mitchell Chan director C/O VIELA BIO, INC., ONE MEDIMMUNE WAY, FIRST FLOOR, AREA TWO, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Stephen Smolinski officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O SELECTA BIOSCIENCES, INC., 480 ARSENAL WAY, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Magnus Persson director 400 E. PRATT STREET, SUITE 606, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Joseph M Miller director C/O CERECOR INC., 400 EAST PRATT STREET, SUITE 606, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Gilla Kaplan director C/O CELGENE CORPORATION, 86 MORRIS AVENUE, SUMMIT NJ 07901
June Sherie Almenoff director C/O BRAINSTORM CELL THERAPEUTICS INC., 1325 AVENUE OF AMERICAS 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Schond L. Greenway officer: CFO & Treasurer C/O CERECOR, INC., 540 GAITHER ROAD, SUITE 400, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
H Jeffrey Wilkins officer: Chief Medical Officer 600 LEE ROAD, SUITE 100, WAYNE PA 19087
Harrell James Archie Jr officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O CERECOR INC., 400 E. PRATT STREET, SUITE 606, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Illya Keith Maher director C/O ARMISTICE CAPITAL, 510 MADISON AVE., 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Steven Boyd director, 10 percent owner 510 MADISON AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022

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