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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-05-21), Avalo Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-498.96. The stock price of Avalo Therapeutics is $11.10. Therefore, Avalo Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.
The historical rank and industry rank for Avalo Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
The historical data trend for Avalo Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Avalo Therapeutics Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -4,041.11 | -3,920.06 | -4,242.25 | -6,308.08 | -362.67 |
Avalo Therapeutics Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -5,103.83 | -4,557.79 | -1,290.35 | -362.67 | -498.96 |
For the Biotechnology subindustry, Avalo Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Avalo Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Avalo Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Avalo Therapeutics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-31.75.
Avalo Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24) | / | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (9.5203515959648 | * | -31.74768 | + | -101.085 | / | 0.8) | / | 0.859 | |
= | -498.96 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Avalo Therapeutics (NAS:AVTX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Avalo Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 11.10 | / | -498.95847026331 | |
= |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Avalo Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Armistice Capital Master Fund Ltd. | director, 10 percent owner | C/O ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC, 510 MADISON AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Caissa Capital Management Ltd. | 10 percent owner | PALM GROVE HOUSE, WICKHAMS CAY 1 ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 VG1110 |
Christopher Ryan Sullivan | officer: Interim CFO | C/O CERECOR INC., 400 E. PRATT STREET, SUITE 606, BALTIMORE MD 21202 |
Garry Arthur Neil | officer: Chief Medical Officer | 555 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 365, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104 |
Mitchell Chan | director | C/O VIELA BIO, INC., ONE MEDIMMUNE WAY, FIRST FLOOR, AREA TWO, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878 |
Stephen Smolinski | officer: Chief Commercial Officer | C/O SELECTA BIOSCIENCES, INC., 480 ARSENAL WAY, WATERTOWN MA 02472 |
Magnus Persson | director | 400 E. PRATT STREET, SUITE 606, BALTIMORE MD 21202 |
Joseph M Miller | director | C/O CERECOR INC., 400 EAST PRATT STREET, SUITE 606, BALTIMORE MD 21202 |
Gilla Kaplan | director | C/O CELGENE CORPORATION, 86 MORRIS AVENUE, SUMMIT NJ 07901 |
June Sherie Almenoff | director | C/O BRAINSTORM CELL THERAPEUTICS INC., 1325 AVENUE OF AMERICAS 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019 |
Schond L. Greenway | officer: CFO & Treasurer | C/O CERECOR, INC., 540 GAITHER ROAD, SUITE 400, ROCKVILLE MD 20850 |
H Jeffrey Wilkins | officer: Chief Medical Officer | 600 LEE ROAD, SUITE 100, WAYNE PA 19087 |
Harrell James Archie Jr | officer: Chief Commercial Officer | C/O CERECOR INC., 400 E. PRATT STREET, SUITE 606, BALTIMORE MD 21202 |
Illya Keith Maher | director | C/O ARMISTICE CAPITAL, 510 MADISON AVE., 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Steven Boyd | director, 10 percent owner | 510 MADISON AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
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