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Allianz Ayudhya Capital (BKK:AYUD-F) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ฿20.62 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Allianz Ayudhya Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-25), Allianz Ayudhya Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿20.62. The stock price of Allianz Ayudhya Capital is ฿17.60. Therefore, Allianz Ayudhya Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Allianz Ayudhya Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:AYUD-F' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.68   Med: 0.98   Max: 1.59
Current: 0.85

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Allianz Ayudhya Capital was 1.59. The lowest was 0.68. And the median was 0.98.

BKK:AYUD-F's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
60.15% of 399 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 0.67 vs BKK:AYUD-F: 0.85

Allianz Ayudhya Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Allianz Ayudhya Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Allianz Ayudhya Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Allianz Ayudhya Capital Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.89 27.88 16.10 21.55 19.22

Allianz Ayudhya Capital Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.88 22.27 20.72 19.22 20.48

Competitive Comparison of Allianz Ayudhya Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Allianz Ayudhya Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Allianz Ayudhya Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Allianz Ayudhya Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Allianz Ayudhya Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Allianz Ayudhya Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Allianz Ayudhya Capital's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ฿392.00.

Allianz Ayudhya Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*391.99968+13527.659*0.8)/389.267
=42.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Allianz Ayudhya Capital  (BKK:AYUD-F) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Allianz Ayudhya Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=17.60/42.768286398943
=0.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Allianz Ayudhya Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Allianz Ayudhya Capital (BKK:AYUD-F) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
898 Ploenchit Road, Ploenchit Tower, 7th Floor, Lumpini, Pathumwan, Bangkok, THA, 10330
Allianz Ayudhya Capital PLC is an investment holding company. The company is engaged in providing individual insurance such as motor insurance, personal accidents insurance, travel accidents insurance, fire insurance, cancer insurance and others. It is involved in non-life insurance business covering for loss or damage of insured properties, such as constructions, commercial and residential buildings, factories, and merchandise, marine and transportation insurance. The company is operating in three principal business segments Non-life insurance business, Service business and Investment business, which are only organized and managed in a single geographic area, namely in Thailand.

Allianz Ayudhya Capital (BKK:AYUD-F) Headlines

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