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Five Below (Five Below) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $49.14 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Five Below Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-01), Five Below's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $49.14. The stock price of Five Below is $146.23. Therefore, Five Below's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Five Below's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FIVE' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.98   Med: 4.57   Max: 5.46
Current: 2.98

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Five Below was 5.46. The lowest was 2.98. And the median was 4.57.

FIVE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
89.01% of 719 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.81 vs FIVE: 2.98

Five Below Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Five Below's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Five Below Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Five Below Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.21 32.20 36.75 41.40 49.14

Five Below Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.40 39.23 39.62 31.48 49.14

Competitive Comparison of Five Below's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Five Below's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Five Below's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Five Below's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Five Below's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Five Below Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Five Below's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $97.65.

Five Below's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*97.6456+1584.956*0.8)/55.333
=49.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Five Below  (NAS:FIVE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Five Below's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=146.23/49.143142430257
=2.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Five Below Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Five Below (Five Below) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
701 Market Street, Suite 300, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 19106
Five Below is a value-oriented retailer that operated 1,340 stores in the United States as of the end of fiscal 2022. Catering to teen and preteen consumers, its stores feature a wide variety of merchandise, the vast majority of which is priced below $6. The assortment focuses on discretionary items in several categories, particularly leisure (such as sporting goods, toys, and electronics; 48% of fiscal 2022 sales), fashion and home (for example, beauty products and accessories, home goods, and storage solutions; 29% of fiscal 2022 sales), and party and snack (including seasonal goods, candy, and beverages; 23% of fiscal 2022 sales). The chain had stores in 42 states as of the end of fiscal 2022.
Executives
Thomas Vellios director C/O FIVE BELOW, INC., 1818 MARKET STREET, SUITE 2000, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Mimi Eckel Vaughn director C/O GENESCO INC, 535 MARRIOTT DRIVE, NASHVILLE TN 37214
Joel D Anderson director, officer: President & CEO 6436 CITY WEST PARKWAY, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Kristy Chipman officer: CFO & Treasurer 1030 W. CANTON AVENUE, SUITE 100, WINTER PARK FL 32789
Ronald Sargent director 1014 VINE STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Catherine Elizabeth Buggeln director THE DRESS BARN, INC., 30 DUNNIGAN DRIVE, SUFFERN NY 10901
Kathleen S Barclay director 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, PO BOX 300 MC 482 C32 D82, DETROIT MI 48265-3000
Michael Romanko officer: CMO C/O FIVE BELOW, INC., 1818 MARKET ST, STE. 2000, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
George Hill officer: EVP, Store Operations C/O FIVE BELOW, INC., 1818 MARKET STREET, SUITE 2000, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Eric M Specter officer: CAO
Kenneth R Bull officer: CFO & Treasurer 1809 WALNUT STREET, PHILADELLPHIA PA 19103
Zuhairah Scott Washington director C/O FIVE BELOW, INC., 701 MARKET STREET, SUITE 300, PHILADELPHIA PA 19106
Devine Michael F Iii director COACH, 516 W 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 1001
Bernard Jin Kim director C/O MATCH GROUP, INC., 8750 N CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, SUITE 1400, DALLAS TX 75231
Judith L. Werthauser officer: Chief Experience Officer 2726 MAITLAND DRIVE, ANN ARBOR MI 48105