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FOJCF (Fortum Oyj) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $8.61 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Fortum Oyj Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-10-31), Fortum Oyj's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.61. The stock price of Fortum Oyj is $15.25. Therefore, Fortum Oyj's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fortum Oyj's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FOJCF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.65   Med: 1.03   Max: 19.67
Current: 1.77

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Fortum Oyj was 19.67. The lowest was 0.65. And the median was 1.03.

FOJCF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
76.96% of 230 companies
in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry
Industry Median: 0.855 vs FOJCF: 1.77

Fortum Oyj Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fortum Oyj's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fortum Oyj Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Fortum Oyj Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.66 24.04 34.65 3.22 7.60

Fortum Oyj Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.31 7.60 7.79 8.69 8.40

Competitive Comparison of Fortum Oyj's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Fortum Oyj's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fortum Oyj's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Fortum Oyj's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fortum Oyj's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Fortum Oyj Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Fortum Oyj's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $185.06.

Fortum Oyj's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*185.0584+9431.743*0.8)/897.264
=10.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fortum Oyj  (OTCPK:FOJCF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Fortum Oyj's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=15.25/10.372884049496
=1.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fortum Oyj Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Fortum Oyj Business Description

Address
Keilalahdentie 2-4, CD Building, P.O. Box 100, Espoo, FIN, 02150
Fortum Oyj is a Finnish energy company that operates power plants, which use renewable energy sources (hydro, nuclear, and solar power) to sell electricity, heat, cooling, and power products and services. The company mainly operates in Nordic and Baltic countries, Russia, Poland, and India. Its main divisions of the company are generation (large-scale power production), city solutions (sustainable energy solutions), Russia (all Russian operations), technology and new ventures (research and development and in-house incubator for startups), mergers and acquisitions, and solar and wind development. The company's operating segments are Generation, Consumer Solutions, and Other Operations.

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