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Carrianna Group Holdings Co (HKSE:00126) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$1.71 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Carrianna Group Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-27), Carrianna Group Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$1.71. The stock price of Carrianna Group Holdings Co is HK$0.215. Therefore, Carrianna Group Holdings Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Carrianna Group Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00126' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.13   Med: 0.38   Max: 0.69
Current: 0.13

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Carrianna Group Holdings Co was 0.69. The lowest was 0.13. And the median was 0.38.

HKSE:00126's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
97.76% of 223 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.37 vs HKSE:00126: 0.13

Carrianna Group Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Carrianna Group Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Carrianna Group Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Carrianna Group Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.36 2.09 2.52 2.10 1.71

Carrianna Group Holdings Co Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 2.10 - 1.71 -

Competitive Comparison of Carrianna Group Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Restaurants subindustry, Carrianna Group Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carrianna Group Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Carrianna Group Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carrianna Group Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Carrianna Group Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Carrianna Group Holdings Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$-19.34.

Carrianna Group Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-19.336142857143+3591.964*0.8)/1571.359
=1.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Carrianna Group Holdings Co  (HKSE:00126) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Carrianna Group Holdings Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.215/1.7115657984523
=0.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Carrianna Group Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Carrianna Group Holdings Co (HKSE:00126) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2002 Renminnan Road, 5/F Carrianna Friendship Square, Lo Wu District, Shenzhen, CHN
Carrianna Group Holdings Co Ltd is a Hong Kong-based investment holding company. It is organised into business units based on their products and services and has two reportable operating segments the Restaurant, Food, and Hotel segment and Property Investment and development segment. The company derives the majority of revenue from Restaurant, Food and Hotel segment which is engaged in restaurant and hotel operations and the provision of food and beverage services. Further, the Property Investment segment comprises the development and sale of properties and the leasing of residential, commercial, and industrial properties. Geographically, the company generates the majority of its revenue from China.
Executives
Ma Kai Cheung 2101 Beneficial owner
Ma Kai Yum 2101 Beneficial owner
East Asia International Trustees Limited
Ng Sze Ping 2202 Interest of your spouse
Chen Chu Zhen
Cai Rong Kong Gu Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si

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