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Poly Culture Group (HKSE:03636) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$-3.43 (As of Jun. 10, 2024)


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What is Poly Culture Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-10), Poly Culture Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$-3.43. The stock price of Poly Culture Group is HK$8.83. Therefore, Poly Culture Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Poly Culture Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Poly Culture Group was 10.25. The lowest was 10.25. And the median was 10.25.

HKSE:03636's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Media - Diversified industry.
Industry Median: 0.89
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Poly Culture Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Poly Culture Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Poly Culture Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Poly Culture Group Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.31 -5.96 -8.26 -0.55 -3.59

Poly Culture Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -0.55 - -3.59 -

Competitive Comparison of Poly Culture Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Entertainment subindustry, Poly Culture Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Poly Culture Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Poly Culture Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Poly Culture Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Poly Culture Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Poly Culture Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$-393.76.

Poly Culture Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-393.75557142857+3324.96*0.8)/246.316
=-4.42

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Poly Culture Group  (HKSE:03636) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Poly Culture Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=8.83/-4.4200274560728
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Poly Culture Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Poly Culture Group (HKSE:03636) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1 North Street of Chaoyangmen, District A, B and C, 11th Floor, Dongcheng District, Beijing, CHN, 100010
Poly Culture Group Corporation Ltd is engaged in art business and auction, performance and theater management, and cinema investment and management. Its Art business and the auction include buy and sell antiques, modern and contemporary calligraphy and painting, ancient calligraphy and painting, oil painting and sculpture, and other cultural relics and artwork. It also provides artwork investment consultation and other services. Performance and theatre management, which is the key revenue driver, includes daily management of the theatre, the arrangement of performances, leases of theatres and theatre design consultation services. Cinema Investment and management includes cinema construction and cinema operation. It earns the majority of its revenue in Mainland China.
Executives
Ubs Group Ag 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Jpmorgan Chase & Co. 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
The Bank Of New York Mellon Corporation 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Li Shuming

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