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Harmonic (Harmonic) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $3.85 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Harmonic Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-01), Harmonic's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $3.85. The stock price of Harmonic is $10.74. Therefore, Harmonic's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Harmonic's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HLIT' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.69   Med: 2   Max: 4.98
Current: 2.79

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Harmonic was 4.98. The lowest was 0.69. And the median was 2.00.

HLIT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
70.92% of 1630 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 1.41 vs HLIT: 2.79

Harmonic Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Harmonic's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Harmonic Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Harmonic Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.03 2.43 2.36 2.99 3.85

Harmonic Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.99 2.97 2.83 3.08 3.85

Competitive Comparison of Harmonic's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Harmonic's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harmonic's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Harmonic's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harmonic's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Harmonic Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Harmonic's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $10.04.

Harmonic's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*10.03632+436.874*0.8)/115.706
=3.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Harmonic  (NAS:HLIT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Harmonic's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=10.74/3.8463735253972
=2.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Harmonic Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Harmonic's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Harmonic (Harmonic) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2590 Orchard Parkway, San Jose, CA, USA, 95131
Harmonic Inc designs and manufactures video infrastructure products and system solutions to deliver video and broadband services to consumer devices. The firm operates in two segments: Video, which sells video processing, production, and playout solutions to cable operators and satellite and telecommunications providers; and Broadband which sells broadband access solutions and related services. Majority of the revenue generated from the company is from United States.
Executives
Walter Jankovic officer: Chief Financial Officer 2950 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Jeremy Rosenberg officer: Interim CFO & SVP Bus Dev 2590 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Patrick Harshman officer: President, BAN Division 2950 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Nimrod Ben-natan officer: VP, Solutions & Strategy 2950 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Neven Haltmayer officer: Vice President, R&D 549 BALTIC WAY, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Sanjay Kalra officer: Chief Financial Officer HARMONIC INC., 4300 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Ian Graham officer: SVP, Intl Sales & Video Svcs 2950 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Sophia Kim director 2590 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Nikos Theodosopoulos director C/O ARISTA NETWORKS, INC., 5453 GREAT AMERICA PARKWAY, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Daniel T Whalen director 2055 BENJAMIN CIRCLE, WALL NJ 07719
David Krall director C/O AVID TECHNOLOGY INC, ONE PARK WEST, TEWKSBURY MA 01876
Eric Louvet officer: SVP Sales NA & APAC 4300 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Susan Swenson director C/O PALM INC, 5470 GREAT AMERICAN PARKWAY MS12116, SANTA CLARA CA 95052
Deborah Clifford director 4300 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95134
William F Reddersen director