PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk (ISX:TCPI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : Rp400.14 (As of May. 16, 2024)

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What is PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-16), PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is Rp400.14. The stock price of PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk is Rp8375.00. Therefore, PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 20.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:TCPI' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 15.98 Med: 18.18 Max: 20.93
Current: 20.93

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk was 20.93. The lowest was 15.98. And the median was 18.18.

ISX:TCPI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
98.43% of 699 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.84 vs ISX:TCPI: 20.93

PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk Annual Data

Trend

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

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461.44

PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk Quarterly Data
	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23	Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															424.21	409.76	427.26	461.44	400.14

Competitive Comparison of PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Marine Shipping subindustry, PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.

PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = Rp40,834.56.

PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	=	(Growth Multiple	*	Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)	+	Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)	*	0.8)	/	Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
	=	(9.5203515959648	*	40834.56	+	2014897	*	0.8)	/	5000.000
	=	400.14

PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk (ISX:TCPI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF	=	Share Price	/	Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
	=	8375.00	/	400.1353936933
	=	20.93

PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk (ISX:TCPI) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk (ISX:TCPI) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Jalan. HR. Rasuna Said, Kuningan, Bakrie Tower 9th Floor, Kompleks Rasuna Epicentrum, Jakarta, IDN, 12940

Website

https://www.transcoalpacific.com

PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk is an Indonesia-based company that engages in the provision of transport and logistics services for energy-related products. The company is primarily involved in the field of shipping, sea transport, rental of ships, and shipping representatives of marine shipping companies, both for regular shipping and non-regular shipping for domestic shipping and overseas. It also offers services, such as fuel barging; as well as a chain of warehousing, delivery, and others. Its segments include Sea Transportation Business Activities and Other Business Activities.

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