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Merafe Resources (JSE:MRF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : R4.53 (As of May. 17, 2024)


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What is Merafe Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-17), Merafe Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is R4.53. The stock price of Merafe Resources is R1.24. Therefore, Merafe Resources's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Merafe Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:MRF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.22   Med: 0.48   Max: 1.23
Current: 0.27

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Merafe Resources was 1.23. The lowest was 0.22. And the median was 0.48.

JSE:MRF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
94.54% of 586 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 1.355 vs JSE:MRF: 0.27

Merafe Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Merafe Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Merafe Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Merafe Resources Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.27 1.90 2.82 3.34 4.53

Merafe Resources Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.82 - 3.34 - 4.53

Competitive Comparison of Merafe Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Merafe Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Merafe Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Merafe Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Merafe Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Merafe Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Merafe Resources's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = R647.33.

Merafe Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.993856731996*647.32957142857+5258.541*0.8)/2499.127
=4.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Merafe Resources  (JSE:MRF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Merafe Resources's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.24/4.5309747630552
=0.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Merafe Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Merafe Resources (JSE:MRF) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
35 Ballyclare Drive, Building B, 2nd floor, Ballyoaks Office Park, Bryanston, ZAF, 2191
Merafe Resources Ltd through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Merafe Ferrochrome and Mining Proprietary Limited, participates in chrome mining and the beneficiation of chrome ore into ferrochrome. The Glencore-Merafe Chrome Venture (Venture) operates five ferrochrome smelters, twenty-two ferrochrome furnaces, and nine mines, situated in the North-West, Limpopo, and Mpumalanga provinces of South Africa. The company has operating mines namely, Waterval mine; Marikana West; and Kroondal Gemini. The Group has one reportable segment being the mining and beneficiation of chrome ore into ferrochrome and associated minerals.

Merafe Resources (JSE:MRF) Headlines