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Reliance Industries (NSE:RELIANCE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ₹562.69 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Reliance Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-15), Reliance Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₹562.69. The stock price of Reliance Industries is ₹2840.15. Therefore, Reliance Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 5.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Reliance Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:RELIANCE' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.4   Med: 4.68   Max: 7.24
Current: 5.05

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Reliance Industries was 7.24. The lowest was 2.40. And the median was 4.68.

NSE:RELIANCE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
93.32% of 674 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.825 vs NSE:RELIANCE: 5.05

Reliance Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Reliance Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Reliance Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Reliance Industries Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 211.85 305.57 484.87 474.19 562.69

Reliance Industries Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 474.19 - - - 562.69

Competitive Comparison of Reliance Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Reliance Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Reliance Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Reliance Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Reliance Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Reliance Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Reliance Industries's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ₹-176,907.14.

Reliance Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.362038579862*-176907.14285714+7934810*0.8)/6765.889
=562.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Reliance Industries  (NSE:RELIANCE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Reliance Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2840.15/562.69040021683
=5.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Reliance Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Reliance Industries (NSE:RELIANCE) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
222, Nariman Point, 3rd Floor, Maker Chambers IV, Mumbai, MH, IND, 400021
Reliance Industries Ltd is engaged in hydrocarbon exploration and production, refining and marketing, petrochemicals, financial services, retail, and communications. The Group has five principal operating and reporting segments: Oil To Chemicals (O2C), Oil and Gas, Retail, Digital Services and Financial Services. Located in west India, Reliance's refineries produce a range of petroleum products that find use as fuel variants, feedstock, and fuel for power and cement plants. Fuels produced in refineries are exported to several countries and can be processed into any grade of gasoline or diesel. The Oil to Chemicals segment that derives the majority revenue includes Refining, Petrochemicals, fuel retailing through Reliance BP Mobility Limited, aviation fuel, and bulk wholesale marketing.

Reliance Industries (NSE:RELIANCE) Headlines

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